{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dac2184e-1517-426b-8539-cad903d0d263", "symbol": "MYX", "name": "MYCELX Technologies Corporation", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.826, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -14.981, "architecture_energy": 30.285, "architecture_maturity": 63.708, "architecture_confidence": 77.935, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.9, "rotation_up": 14.01, "upward_expansion": 47.48, "deceleration": 87.99, "rotation_down": 48.97, "downward_expansion": 30.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.532333, 0.570273, 0.57081, 0.545817 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.49, "trend_reference": 0.507167, "distance_from_trend": -0.033848, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.435788, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.124399, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.467722, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.113636, "excess_performance": 0.062401, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033848, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.269504, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.124399, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029839, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.124677, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220014, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.113636, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.110431, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 190822, "relative_activity": 2.703227, "balance": 1.110431, "dry_up": 1.666433, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09551, "annualized_volatility": 0.478795, "from_high_reference": -0.268657, "from_low_reference": 1.437811 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.507167, "fair_value_reference": 0.435788, "structural_low": 0.43, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.053668, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.04111, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.344444, "worst_return": -0.193182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.147287, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.154107, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.515625, "worst_return": -0.275229, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.205607, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.106529, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.671875, "worst_return": -0.330986, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.272727, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.102041, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.037037, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017857, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.117647, 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"up", "direction": 64.349038, "energy": 61.828057, "activity_lines": [ 0.624667, 0.623273, 0.569952, 0.532022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.595, "volume": 6750, "typical_volume": 52697.65, "trend": 0.4825, "fair_value": 0.434346, "relative_strength": 44.920595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.417382, "energy": 48.110017, "activity_lines": [ 0.611333, 0.621182, 0.576119, 0.540011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.56, "volume": 109929, "typical_volume": 54015.85, "trend": 0.492167, "fair_value": 0.43534, "relative_strength": 33.000099, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.779067, "energy": 29.182425, "activity_lines": [ 0.590667, 0.610182, 0.578357, 0.545011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.515, "volume": 163036, "typical_volume": 61595.65, "trend": 0.500333, "fair_value": 0.435724, "relative_strength": 19.697274, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.008023, "energy": 24.160916, "activity_lines": [ 0.561, 0.591818, 0.575881, 0.546484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.49, "volume": 190822, "typical_volume": 70590.45, "trend": 0.507167, "fair_value": 0.435788, "relative_strength": 12.467722, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -14.980816, "energy": 30.284604, "activity_lines": [ 0.532333, 0.570273, 0.57081, 0.545817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }