{ "ticker": { "uuid": "daca9582-e485-4524-8da5-385491251d71", "symbol": "OMEX", "name": "Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.55, "architecture_energy": 53.159, "architecture_maturity": 72.369, "architecture_confidence": 94.74, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.22, "rotation_up": 22.1, "upward_expansion": 7.81, "deceleration": 51.77, "rotation_down": 60.8, "downward_expansion": 83.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.72968, 0.760916, 0.86194, 0.963558 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.8838, "trend_reference": 1.17019, "distance_from_trend": -0.244738, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.264582, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.609729, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -51.761159, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.457791, "excess_performance": -0.645245, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.244738, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.271159, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.609729, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099216, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.517612, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13422, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.457791, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.374535, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2620726, "relative_activity": 0.138452, "balance": 0.374535, "dry_up": 0.099755, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.184735, "annualized_volatility": 1.062674, "from_high_reference": -0.800497, "from_low_reference": 0.510769 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.17019, "fair_value_reference": 2.264582, "structural_low": 0.585, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.012526, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.054438, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 2.305556, "worst_return": -0.420133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.012841, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.011293, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 1.726388, "worst_return": -0.345933, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.016713, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.067389, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 3.795521, "worst_return": -0.535819, "sufficient": true }, 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-07-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.109434, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-07-19", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217822, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.792141, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.369944, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.482318, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-06", 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"volume": 1926580, "typical_volume": 19120992.6, "trend": 1.31519, "fair_value": 2.322146, "relative_strength": -62.774165, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.983298, "energy": 83.176447, "activity_lines": [ 0.75662, 0.841895, 0.933479, 1.068511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.69, "volume": 1468663, "typical_volume": 19072697.6, "trend": 1.26719, "fair_value": 2.303236, "relative_strength": -61.19467, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.824429, "energy": 82.756128, "activity_lines": [ 0.72008, 0.801182, 0.902404, 1.028176 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.5962, "volume": 1536960, "typical_volume": 19046979.4, "trend": 1.214397, "fair_value": 2.282955, "relative_strength": -66.231253, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.553846, "energy": 87.64979, "activity_lines": [ 0.666113, 0.750505, 0.866253, 0.984886 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.8838, "volume": 2620726, "typical_volume": 18928759.3, "trend": 1.17019, "fair_value": 2.264582, "relative_strength": -51.761159, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.549697, "energy": 53.159402, "activity_lines": [ 0.72968, 0.760916, 0.86194, 0.963558 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }