{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dae8a4a2-c5c4-4889-98e7-53cbf1dc1d55", "symbol": "MATD", "name": "Petro Matad Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 73.084, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.082, "architecture_energy": 48.722, "architecture_maturity": 9.426, "architecture_confidence": 95.486, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.88, "rotation_up": 17.32, "upward_expansion": 9.61, "deceleration": 42.22, "rotation_down": 53.37, "downward_expansion": 80.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.010633, 0.010836, 0.011506, 0.011747 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.01075, "trend_reference": 0.01185, "distance_from_trend": -0.092827, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.020797, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.483109, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.956639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.102564, "excess_performance": 0.051329, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092827, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00751, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.483109, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032085, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.109566, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170262, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.102564, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.364296, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18639531, "relative_activity": 1.050883, "balance": 0.364296, "dry_up": 0.804912, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112844, "annualized_volatility": 0.493265, "from_high_reference": -0.358209, "from_low_reference": 0.604478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.01185, "fair_value_reference": 0.020797, "structural_low": 0.0095, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.481481, "directional_follow_through": 0.481481, "median_excess_return": -0.00302, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.774648, "worst_return": -0.388889, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.106614, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.079501, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 1.298851, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.231651, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.188891, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.580952, "worst_return": -0.479365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.168454, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.209156, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.402299, "worst_return": -0.591837, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.403409, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.301471, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.068493, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.232673, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.098361, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.415094, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.601307, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.406349, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.297297, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.086957, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.189655, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042553, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.037, "volume": 10417348, "typical_volume": 37503023.95, "trend": 0.044387, "fair_value": 0.035604, "relative_strength": 2.025522, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.148301, "energy": 30.462545, "activity_lines": [ 0.0408, 0.043327, 0.046098, 0.04617 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 0.035, "volume": 5243535, "typical_volume": 36148413.8, "trend": 0.04422, "fair_value": 0.035661, "relative_strength": -4.968121, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.937459, "energy": 43.91934, "activity_lines": [ 0.038267, 0.041727, 0.044783, 0.045565 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-01", "close": 0.039, "volume": 7297946, "typical_volume": 32777656.45, "trend": 0.044573, "fair_value": 0.035748, "relative_strength": 3.559321, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.826207, "energy": 40.531641, "activity_lines": [ 0.037867, 0.040982, 0.043881, 0.045228 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-08", "close": 0.0375, "volume": 8266551, "typical_volume": 28558103.5, "trend": 0.044798, "fair_value": 0.035838, "relative_strength": -0.984169, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.636521, "energy": 47.910909, "activity_lines": [ 0.0375, 0.039973, 0.042927, 0.044772 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-15", "close": 0.0325, "volume": 6962687, "typical_volume": 27399492.3, "trend": 0.044873, "fair_value": 0.035889, "relative_strength": -16.933889, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.668055, "energy": 50.395644, "activity_lines": [ 0.035767, 0.038136, 0.041586, 0.043978 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-22", "close": 0.0315, "volume": 6167172, "typical_volume": 26129771.25, "trend": 0.04489, "fair_value": 0.035937, "relative_strength": -19.452728, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.120403, "energy": 46.571829, "activity_lines": [ 0.0342, 0.036409, 0.040237, 0.043115 ] }, { "date": "2023-09-29", "close": 0.0285, "volume": 7065888, "typical_volume": 24688686.55, "trend": 0.044607, "fair_value": 0.035938, "relative_strength": -26.535709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.745148, "energy": 54.994991, "activity_lines": [ 0.032, 0.034527, 0.03875, 0.042058 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-06", "close": 0.0295, "volume": 5914692, "typical_volume": 23803756.1, "trend": 0.04424, "fair_value": 0.035964, "relative_strength": -22.942271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.887083, "energy": 64.546004, "activity_lines": [ 0.030567, 0.033164, 0.037561, 0.041083 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-13", "close": 0.0305, "volume": 3346248, "typical_volume": 20449420.8, "trend": 0.043907, "fair_value": 0.036009, "relative_strength": -21.679254, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.828989, "energy": 73.509783, "activity_lines": [ 0.0301, 0.0323, 0.036619, 0.040197 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-20", "close": 0.029, "volume": 4311000, "typical_volume": 20103784.25, "trend": 0.043607, "fair_value": 0.036044, "relative_strength": -23.802868, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.527804, "energy": 74.567439, "activity_lines": [ 0.0296, 0.031373, 0.035618, 0.039235 ] }, { "date": "2023-10-27", "close": 0.033, "volume": 6820719, "typical_volume": 18930340.75, "trend": 0.043407, "fair_value": 0.036111, "relative_strength": -12.481439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.109617, "energy": 62.456435, "activity_lines": [ 0.030667, 0.031373, 0.035088, 0.038551 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-03", "close": 0.0285, "volume": 5396011, "typical_volume": 17424809.25, "trend": 0.042965, "fair_value": 0.036136, "relative_strength": -26.001333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.806938, "energy": 52.868623, "activity_lines": [ 0.030133, 0.030627, 0.034164, 0.037589 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-10", "close": 0.0265, "volume": 15710708, "typical_volume": 17501129.05, "trend": 0.041908, "fair_value": 0.036149, "relative_strength": -30.960843, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.480324, "energy": 52.284752, "activity_lines": [ 0.028933, 0.029636, 0.033114, 0.036527 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-17", "close": 0.0315, "volume": 12440427, "typical_volume": 17324805.75, "trend": 0.041092, "fair_value": 0.036197, "relative_strength": -20.021271, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.169825, "energy": 40.355033, "activity_lines": [ 0.0296, 0.029782, 0.032602, 0.035855 ] }, { "date": "2023-11-24", "close": 0.037, "volume": 14132959, "typical_volume": 12800121.1, "trend": 0.040625, "fair_value": 0.036268, "relative_strength": -6.767014, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.855842, "energy": 24.459232, "activity_lines": [ 0.032033, 0.031036, 0.032664, 0.035591 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-01", "close": 0.035, "volume": 16306447, "typical_volume": 10087509.05, "trend": 0.039708, "fair_value": 0.036338, "relative_strength": -12.983902, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.255103, "energy": 17.10724, "activity_lines": [ 0.033267, 0.031845, 0.03259, 0.035228 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-08", "close": 0.0325, "volume": 7698219, "typical_volume": 9600669.85, "trend": 0.038425, "fair_value": 0.036368, "relative_strength": -19.493572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.743195, "energy": 20.042243, "activity_lines": [ 0.033533, 0.032136, 0.032364, 0.034763 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-15", "close": 0.03, "volume": 8506166, "typical_volume": 9248171.65, "trend": 0.037375, "fair_value": 0.036378, "relative_strength": -25.756611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.255005, "energy": 20.882116, "activity_lines": [ 0.0327, 0.0319, 0.031969, 0.03422 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-22", "close": 0.0405, "volume": 28274925, "typical_volume": 10223672.2, "trend": 0.037125, "fair_value": 0.036455, "relative_strength": -1.5297, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 6.433644, "energy": 11.159178, "activity_lines": [ 0.035133, 0.033564, 0.032655, 0.034422 ] }, { "date": "2023-12-29", "close": 0.041, "volume": 14845842, "typical_volume": 9756274.5, "trend": 0.036892, "fair_value": 0.036456, "relative_strength": -0.498241, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.094725, "energy": 24.757154, "activity_lines": [ 0.037133, 0.035136, 0.033395, 0.034672 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-05", "close": 0.042, "volume": 9140726, "typical_volume": 9692443.4, "trend": 0.03695, "fair_value": 0.036468, "relative_strength": 3.093519, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.0344, "energy": 42.54862, "activity_lines": [ 0.0392, 0.036673, 0.034226, 0.035001 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-12", "close": 0.0355, "volume": 9540339, "typical_volume": 9907283.6, "trend": 0.036733, "fair_value": 0.036463, "relative_strength": -11.570446, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.365822, "energy": 35.56775, "activity_lines": [ 0.038633, 0.036864, 0.034414, 0.034908 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-19", "close": 0.042, "volume": 16489271, "typical_volume": 10366849.85, "trend": 0.036817, "fair_value": 0.036531, "relative_strength": 7.196609, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.527702, "energy": 39.092837, "activity_lines": [ 0.040033, 0.038109, 0.035219, 0.035247 ] }, { "date": "2024-01-26", "close": 0.0405, "volume": 6994997, "typical_volume": 10303272.15, "trend": 0.036767, "fair_value": 0.03659, "relative_strength": 0.966605, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 30.658427, "energy": 30.114905, "activity_lines": [ 0.040133, 0.0388, 0.035867, 0.035485 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-02", "close": 0.0377, "volume": 11264598, "typical_volume": 10518367.7, "trend": 0.036407, "fair_value": 0.03662, "relative_strength": -6.237413, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.660524, "energy": 19.066229, "activity_lines": [ 0.0393, 0.038818, 0.036233, 0.035545 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-09", "close": 0.0335, "volume": 17463335, "typical_volume": 11083175.85, "trend": 0.035757, "fair_value": 0.036628, "relative_strength": -16.370359, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 2.098836, "energy": 6.636654, "activity_lines": [ 0.037287, 0.03806, 0.036175, 0.035358 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-16", "close": 0.032, "volume": 9188863, "typical_volume": 11189324.6, "trend": 0.035257, "fair_value": 0.036629, "relative_strength": -21.661378, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.344566, "energy": 13.034781, "activity_lines": [ 0.03534, 0.037056, 0.035965, 0.035115 ] }, { "date": "2024-02-23", "close": 0.03, "volume": 10784966, "typical_volume": 11432838.3, "trend": 0.03469, "fair_value": 0.03663, "relative_strength": -26.494936, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.491077, "energy": 21.390662, "activity_lines": [ 0.03296, 0.035698, 0.035547, 0.034776 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-01", "close": 0.037, "volume": 27263633, "typical_volume": 12628707.55, "trend": 0.034523, "fair_value": 0.036672, "relative_strength": -9.115827, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.974265, "energy": 15.102808, "activity_lines": [ 0.033713, 0.035613, 0.035794, 0.034925 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-08", "close": 0.037, "volume": 15340440, "typical_volume": 13180179.55, "trend": 0.034423, "fair_value": 0.036715, "relative_strength": -8.713981, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.231091, "energy": 13.429686, "activity_lines": [ 0.0347, 0.035591, 0.03601, 0.035085 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-15", "close": 0.04, "volume": 15396424, "typical_volume": 13608964.8, "trend": 0.034523, "fair_value": 0.036783, "relative_strength": -2.054284, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.577799, "energy": 16.887799, "activity_lines": [ 0.036733, 0.036187, 0.036473, 0.035445 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-22", "close": 0.042, "volume": 17648943, "typical_volume": 14221611.4, "trend": 0.034757, "fair_value": 0.036874, "relative_strength": 0.144224, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.631205, "energy": 35.759727, "activity_lines": [ 0.039, 0.037184, 0.037093, 0.035927 ] }, { "date": "2024-03-29", "close": 0.0395, "volume": 10949841, "typical_volume": 13983568.05, "trend": 0.034773, "fair_value": 0.03696, "relative_strength": -6.024754, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.563796, "energy": 42.875158, "activity_lines": [ 0.039767, 0.037607, 0.037411, 0.036233 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-05", "close": 0.03825, "volume": 8772292, "typical_volume": 13800161.3, "trend": 0.034798, "fair_value": 0.037017, "relative_strength": -8.336326, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.930144, "energy": 43.058312, "activity_lines": [ 0.039483, 0.037849, 0.037549, 0.036457 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-12", "close": 0.042, "volume": 20032947, "typical_volume": 14095160.7, "trend": 0.035115, "fair_value": 0.037082, "relative_strength": 0.371165, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.352953, "energy": 46.824023, "activity_lines": [ 0.040367, 0.038814, 0.038011, 0.036922 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-19", "close": 0.039, "volume": 16190018, "typical_volume": 14089339.25, "trend": 0.035365, "fair_value": 0.037012, "relative_strength": -4.874483, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.948924, "energy": 26.606928, "activity_lines": [ 0.039917, 0.039155, 0.038163, 0.037173 ] }, { "date": "2024-04-26", "close": 0.0305, "volume": 32301186, "typical_volume": 15319487.6, "trend": 0.035432, "fair_value": 0.036865, "relative_strength": -27.098209, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.426928, "energy": 6.945302, "activity_lines": [ 0.0367, 0.03785, 0.037487, 0.036859 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-03", "close": 0.0305, "volume": 12897396, "typical_volume": 15539049.1, "trend": 0.035465, "fair_value": 0.036741, "relative_strength": -26.564941, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.940982, "energy": 17.454319, "activity_lines": [ 0.03425, 0.036573, 0.036821, 0.036541 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-10", "close": 0.0315, "volume": 5396076, "typical_volume": 14395106.65, "trend": 0.035498, "fair_value": 0.036421, "relative_strength": -24.583563, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.720838, "energy": 27.549188, "activity_lines": [ 0.032733, 0.035468, 0.036247, 0.036285 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-17", "close": 0.029, "volume": 15035368, "typical_volume": 14404582.95, "trend": 0.035498, "fair_value": 0.036149, "relative_strength": -29.225269, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.954209, "energy": 46.727485, "activity_lines": [ 0.030833, 0.034009, 0.035479, 0.035866 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-24", "close": 0.029, "volume": 7911597, "typical_volume": 14343126.5, "trend": 0.035365, "fair_value": 0.035835, "relative_strength": -27.547772, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.528868, "energy": 52.473894, "activity_lines": [ 0.0298, 0.032695, 0.034767, 0.035446 ] }, { "date": "2024-05-31", "close": 0.042, "volume": 109348008, "typical_volume": 19333509.95, "trend": 0.035815, "fair_value": 0.035634, "relative_strength": 5.988746, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.913076, "energy": 8.736857, "activity_lines": [ 0.033767, 0.033945, 0.035355, 0.035874 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-07", "close": 0.044, "volume": 21645412, "typical_volume": 19591317.0, "trend": 0.036398, "fair_value": 0.035451, "relative_strength": 11.43359, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.907639, "energy": 13.439258, "activity_lines": [ 0.037633, 0.035559, 0.036103, 0.036402 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-14", "close": 0.0355, "volume": 30665998, "typical_volume": 20774867.05, "trend": 0.036532, "fair_value": 0.035252, "relative_strength": -8.588602, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.480395, "energy": 13.620764, "activity_lines": [ 0.037767, 0.035545, 0.036032, 0.036345 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-21", "close": 0.0365, "volume": 27930956, "typical_volume": 21608184.95, "trend": 0.036515, "fair_value": 0.03504, "relative_strength": -6.724968, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.173576, "energy": 15.377624, "activity_lines": [ 0.037967, 0.035764, 0.03608, 0.036342 ] }, { "date": "2024-06-28", "close": 0.0235, "volume": 483692573, "typical_volume": 44919646.85, "trend": 0.036132, "fair_value": 0.034773, "relative_strength": -38.735639, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.660223, "energy": 25.348325, "activity_lines": [ 0.033333, 0.033718, 0.034895, 0.035503 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-05", "close": 0.02625, "volume": 199864127, "typical_volume": 54453410.05, "trend": 0.035923, "fair_value": 0.034489, "relative_strength": -30.913333, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.403507, "energy": 46.939685, "activity_lines": [ 0.029983, 0.032455, 0.03402, 0.034865 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-12", "close": 0.0272, "volume": 191077850, "typical_volume": 63468054.25, "trend": 0.03583, "fair_value": 0.034457, "relative_strength": -27.687186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.721183, "energy": 55.483079, "activity_lines": [ 0.028, 0.031441, 0.033263, 0.034302 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-19", "close": 0.02875, "volume": 107309178, "typical_volume": 67470331.5, "trend": 0.035438, "fair_value": 0.034444, "relative_strength": -21.795008, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.464182, "energy": 56.573428, "activity_lines": [ 0.027653, 0.030769, 0.032667, 0.033846 ] }, { "date": "2024-07-26", "close": 0.03, "volume": 123644059, "typical_volume": 72885512.45, "trend": 0.035072, "fair_value": 0.034455, "relative_strength": -18.813482, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.924167, "energy": 50.525172, "activity_lines": [ 0.028173, 0.030375, 0.032229, 0.033495 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-02", "close": 0.02725, "volume": 71870947, "typical_volume": 75709238.6, "trend": 0.03458, "fair_value": 0.034443, "relative_strength": -24.532168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.490135, "energy": 36.075933, "activity_lines": [ 0.02821, 0.029462, 0.031563, 0.03299 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-09", "close": 0.028, "volume": 79786499, "typical_volume": 78816116.4, "trend": 0.03433, "fair_value": 0.03442, "relative_strength": -21.749128, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.681828, "energy": 28.68786, "activity_lines": [ 0.028247, 0.028717, 0.031028, 0.032566 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-16", "close": 0.0255, "volume": 42207490, "typical_volume": 80378998.85, "trend": 0.03378, "fair_value": 0.034398, "relative_strength": -29.335829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.272483, "energy": 31.927832, "activity_lines": [ 0.027333, 0.027773, 0.030323, 0.031996 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-23", "close": 0.0284, "volume": 125662778, "typical_volume": 86223523.15, "trend": 0.033377, "fair_value": 0.034399, "relative_strength": -20.978822, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.402884, "energy": 28.028455, "activity_lines": [ 0.0275, 0.027692, 0.02996, 0.031649 ] }, { "date": "2024-08-30", "close": 0.02825, "volume": 73163583, "typical_volume": 88880054.95, "trend": 0.033062, "fair_value": 0.034399, "relative_strength": -21.203751, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.858618, "energy": 28.602117, "activity_lines": [ 0.02764, 0.027713, 0.02963, 0.031318 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-06", "close": 0.02675, "volume": 69772519, "typical_volume": 91559180.0, "trend": 0.032837, "fair_value": 0.034392, "relative_strength": -23.004696, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.231313, "energy": 29.774618, "activity_lines": [ 0.027397, 0.027611, 0.029222, 0.030911 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-13", "close": 0.0235, "volume": 91186796, "typical_volume": 94503460.5, "trend": 0.032553, "fair_value": 0.034362, "relative_strength": -32.689347, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.778846, "energy": 38.169684, "activity_lines": [ 0.026103, 0.026859, 0.028563, 0.030309 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-20", "close": 0.02225, "volume": 50610731, "typical_volume": 96389127.25, "trend": 0.032295, "fair_value": 0.034333, "relative_strength": -35.525806, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.129548, "energy": 53.914779, "activity_lines": [ 0.024693, 0.02593, 0.027819, 0.029644 ] }, { "date": "2024-09-27", "close": 0.02275, "volume": 59912538, "typical_volume": 99114950.35, "trend": 0.03182, "fair_value": 0.034303, "relative_strength": -34.492321, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.950862, "energy": 64.67382, "activity_lines": [ 0.023667, 0.025182, 0.027161, 0.029028 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-04", "close": 0.026, "volume": 73092728, "typical_volume": 102017818.35, "trend": 0.031453, "fair_value": 0.034303, "relative_strength": -24.493593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.224328, "energy": 58.477991, "activity_lines": [ 0.0241, 0.025134, 0.026855, 0.028653 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-11", "close": 0.0245, "volume": 54825900, "typical_volume": 104363533.5, "trend": 0.030937, "fair_value": 0.034279, "relative_strength": -28.271207, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.872597, "energy": 45.653721, "activity_lines": [ 0.024183, 0.024885, 0.02642, 0.028204 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-18", "close": 0.023, "volume": 21869176, "typical_volume": 99989591.9, "trend": 0.030303, "fair_value": 0.034251, "relative_strength": -33.143181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.462635, "energy": 37.657537, "activity_lines": [ 0.023917, 0.024415, 0.025863, 0.027692 ] }, { "date": "2024-10-25", "close": 0.023, "volume": 60622894, "typical_volume": 101938466.0, "trend": 0.029753, "fair_value": 0.034224, "relative_strength": -31.701169, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.07488, "energy": 34.466753, "activity_lines": [ 0.023683, 0.024035, 0.025397, 0.027221 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-01", "close": 0.0225, "volume": 30351806, "typical_volume": 101922756.4, "trend": 0.029228, "fair_value": 0.034192, "relative_strength": -32.252859, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.546904, "energy": 37.296111, "activity_lines": [ 0.023233, 0.023609, 0.024984, 0.026753 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 0.02475, "volume": 46947130, "typical_volume": 102873565.1, "trend": 0.028653, "fair_value": 0.034163, "relative_strength": -24.31922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.365352, "energy": 32.033084, "activity_lines": [ 0.02355, 0.0237, 0.024846, 0.026464 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-15", "close": 0.016, "volume": 133956301, "typical_volume": 85386751.5, "trend": 0.027887, "fair_value": 0.03408, "relative_strength": -50.501598, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.125692, "energy": 50.06615, "activity_lines": [ 0.021033, 0.022264, 0.023931, 0.025648 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-22", "close": 0.01525, "volume": 60064520, "typical_volume": 78396771.15, "trend": 0.027378, "fair_value": 0.034, "relative_strength": -53.261272, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.965006, "energy": 72.40307, "activity_lines": [ 0.018833, 0.020886, 0.022981, 0.024832 ] }, { "date": "2024-11-29", "close": 0.01375, "volume": 26189208, "typical_volume": 70152339.05, "trend": 0.02682, "fair_value": 0.033909, "relative_strength": -57.366062, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.628775, "energy": 80.170731, "activity_lines": [ 0.01665, 0.019386, 0.02194, 0.023953 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-06", "close": 0.017, "volume": 38521695, "typical_volume": 66712964.9, "trend": 0.026337, "fair_value": 0.033843, "relative_strength": -46.831349, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.690428, "energy": 75.900857, "activity_lines": [ 0.016167, 0.018632, 0.021273, 0.023319 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-13", "close": 0.015, "volume": 26422594, "typical_volume": 61851891.65, "trend": 0.02587, "fair_value": 0.033766, "relative_strength": -52.528947, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.984874, "energy": 76.737464, "activity_lines": [ 0.015383, 0.017618, 0.020471, 0.022588 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-20", "close": 0.01475, "volume": 12057120, "typical_volume": 58861200.3, "trend": 0.025395, "fair_value": 0.033676, "relative_strength": -51.227903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.700516, "energy": 66.553403, "activity_lines": [ 0.015167, 0.016759, 0.019716, 0.021871 ] }, { "date": "2024-12-27", "close": 0.015, "volume": 6736106, "typical_volume": 55208680.65, "trend": 0.024495, "fair_value": 0.033572, "relative_strength": -49.9067, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.508902, "energy": 51.323184, "activity_lines": [ 0.015117, 0.016123, 0.019045, 0.0212 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-03", "close": 0.015, "volume": 8190730, "typical_volume": 53507842.65, "trend": 0.023528, "fair_value": 0.033457, "relative_strength": -49.395085, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.256951, "energy": 50.75282, "activity_lines": [ 0.015083, 0.015632, 0.018436, 0.020587 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 0.01575, "volume": 10790049, "typical_volume": 47764206.2, "trend": 0.02287, "fair_value": 0.033327, "relative_strength": -46.234819, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.313294, "energy": 47.287401, "activity_lines": [ 0.015217, 0.015423, 0.017949, 0.020086 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 0.01375, "volume": 26655433, "typical_volume": 45438798.7, "trend": 0.022112, "fair_value": 0.033165, "relative_strength": -53.467924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.616267, "energy": 48.323209, "activity_lines": [ 0.014767, 0.014973, 0.017331, 0.019497 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", "close": 0.01375, "volume": 18948943, "typical_volume": 42897619.9, "trend": 0.021787, "fair_value": 0.033024, "relative_strength": -52.482794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.470129, "energy": 47.885635, "activity_lines": [ 0.0144, 0.014723, 0.016782, 0.018958 ] }, { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 0.013, "volume": 15946777, "typical_volume": 39135618.95, "trend": 0.021345, "fair_value": 0.032822, "relative_strength": -55.087444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.449519, "energy": 49.777733, "activity_lines": [ 0.01385, 0.014377, 0.016224, 0.018391 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 0.01325, "volume": 26143739, "typical_volume": 37912269.35, "trend": 0.02088, "fair_value": 0.03263, "relative_strength": -53.587247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.084201, "energy": 51.571671, "activity_lines": [ 0.013517, 0.014118, 0.015739, 0.017869 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 0.0143, "volume": 28509525, "typical_volume": 36342118.7, "trend": 0.020398, "fair_value": 0.032441, "relative_strength": -49.347079, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.427073, "energy": 62.453749, "activity_lines": [ 0.01365, 0.014059, 0.015398, 0.017444 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-21", "close": 0.013, "volume": 9770215, "typical_volume": 33175993.05, "trend": 0.019832, "fair_value": 0.032274, "relative_strength": -52.892992, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.868676, "energy": 59.687392, "activity_lines": [ 0.013447, 0.013813, 0.014972, 0.016967 ] }, { "date": "2025-02-28", "close": 0.014, "volume": 8862279, "typical_volume": 30877812.0, "trend": 0.01939, "fair_value": 0.032114, "relative_strength": -49.144592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.842777, "energy": 45.179182, "activity_lines": [ 0.013627, 0.013785, 0.014704, 0.016591 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-07", "close": 0.01775, "volume": 100415469, "typical_volume": 34805126.65, "trend": 0.019048, "fair_value": 0.032007, "relative_strength": -33.417011, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -25.398535, "energy": 16.300388, "activity_lines": [ 0.01504, 0.014452, 0.014843, 0.016485 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-14", "close": 0.01475, "volume": 23494687, "typical_volume": 32948716.3, "trend": 0.01869, "fair_value": 0.031864, "relative_strength": -43.130578, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.111744, "energy": 16.41412, "activity_lines": [ 0.015137, 0.014524, 0.014722, 0.016207 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-21", "close": 0.019, "volume": 43501580, "typical_volume": 33606205.0, "trend": 0.018377, "fair_value": 0.031733, "relative_strength": -25.387672, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 5.594988, "energy": 14.867912, "activity_lines": [ 0.01655, 0.015373, 0.015044, 0.016227 ] }, { "date": "2025-03-28", "close": 0.01825, "volume": 24635043, "typical_volume": 32490600.65, "trend": 0.018043, "fair_value": 0.0316, "relative_strength": -27.071408, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.867733, "energy": 19.039053, "activity_lines": [ 0.0174, 0.016026, 0.015312, 0.016219 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-04", "close": 0.01525, "volume": 13718010, "typical_volume": 26478686.1, "trend": 0.01766, "fair_value": 0.031406, "relative_strength": -33.182935, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.326932, "energy": 14.230288, "activity_lines": [ 0.0169, 0.016053, 0.015325, 0.016039 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-11", "close": 0.01575, "volume": 28694443, "typical_volume": 24910182.25, "trend": 0.017402, "fair_value": 0.031247, "relative_strength": -28.618684, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.717191, "energy": 12.67951, "activity_lines": [ 0.016483, 0.016143, 0.015389, 0.015916 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-18", "close": 0.017, "volume": 14296247, "typical_volume": 24315534.2, "trend": 0.017227, "fair_value": 0.031074, "relative_strength": -24.33834, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -7.361834, "energy": 8.029158, "activity_lines": [ 0.016617, 0.01641, 0.015569, 0.01589 ] }, { "date": "2025-04-25", "close": 0.016, "volume": 10693894, "typical_volume": 22924144.15, "trend": 0.017002, "fair_value": 0.030895, "relative_strength": -29.042663, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.041822, "energy": 11.412898, "activity_lines": [ 0.016267, 0.016427, 0.015639, 0.015811 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-02", "close": 0.0185, "volume": 81673227, "typical_volume": 25686675.8, "trend": 0.016752, "fair_value": 0.030786, "relative_strength": -18.773813, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.021658, "energy": 13.881131, "activity_lines": [ 0.01695, 0.016868, 0.015952, 0.015907 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-09", "close": 0.0185, "volume": 10734605, "typical_volume": 25620550.05, "trend": 0.016552, "fair_value": 0.030702, "relative_strength": -17.436499, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.320459, "energy": 22.27976, "activity_lines": [ 0.017617, 0.017209, 0.016248, 0.01602 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-16", "close": 0.0195, "volume": 16538462, "typical_volume": 26110667.85, "trend": 0.016435, "fair_value": 0.030632, "relative_strength": -13.513125, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 31.696131, "energy": 34.180771, "activity_lines": [ 0.0184, 0.01765, 0.016622, 0.01621 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-23", "close": 0.0202, "volume": 19946580, "typical_volume": 26698460.35, "trend": 0.016342, "fair_value": 0.030566, "relative_strength": -9.971783, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.896802, "energy": 53.895532, "activity_lines": [ 0.019167, 0.018186, 0.017041, 0.016453 ] }, { "date": "2025-05-30", "close": 0.0165, "volume": 94727524, "typical_volume": 30895334.1, "trend": 0.016142, "fair_value": 0.030479, "relative_strength": -25.131111, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.989939, "energy": 35.645256, "activity_lines": [ 0.018487, 0.017951, 0.017082, 0.016464 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-06", "close": 0.0155, "volume": 18551540, "typical_volume": 30490139.45, "trend": 0.015833, "fair_value": 0.03037, "relative_strength": -28.221465, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.166957, "energy": 15.898572, "activity_lines": [ 0.01744, 0.017579, 0.017025, 0.016422 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-13", "close": 0.01525, "volume": 19583106, "typical_volume": 30521847.6, "trend": 0.015808, "fair_value": 0.030281, "relative_strength": -27.987356, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.233256, "energy": 12.792321, "activity_lines": [ 0.01651, 0.017212, 0.016936, 0.016385 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-20", "close": 0.01275, "volume": 46077963, "typical_volume": 32028406.9, "trend": 0.015725, "fair_value": 0.03018, "relative_strength": -37.782857, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.47797, "energy": 26.204776, "activity_lines": [ 0.014963, 0.01639, 0.016601, 0.016187 ] }, { "date": "2025-06-27", "close": 0.01375, "volume": 20898230, "typical_volume": 31766131.45, "trend": 0.015725, "fair_value": 0.030124, "relative_strength": -32.354725, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.946844, "energy": 34.458896, "activity_lines": [ 0.0142, 0.015805, 0.016363, 0.01606 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-04", "close": 0.01325, "volume": 12762686, "typical_volume": 30978789.5, "trend": 0.0156, "fair_value": 0.030075, "relative_strength": -34.059845, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.664484, "energy": 44.19024, "activity_lines": [ 0.0137, 0.015187, 0.016075, 0.0159 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-11", "close": 0.0082, "volume": 95539881, "typical_volume": 35267272.8, "trend": 0.015373, "fair_value": 0.029973, "relative_strength": -58.905834, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -56.170123, "energy": 65.878586, "activity_lines": [ 0.011733, 0.013702, 0.015311, 0.015423 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-18", "close": 0.00775, "volume": 51874700, "typical_volume": 37417893.85, "trend": 0.01514, "fair_value": 0.029879, "relative_strength": -60.474192, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.959201, "energy": 80.099811, "activity_lines": [ 0.010103, 0.012322, 0.014527, 0.014931 ] }, { "date": "2025-07-25", "close": 0.00765, "volume": 78707175, "typical_volume": 36332479.15, "trend": 0.014895, "fair_value": 0.02979, "relative_strength": -60.565111, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.292476, "energy": 82.330473, "activity_lines": [ 0.00894, 0.011119, 0.013763, 0.014448 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-01", "close": 0.00825, "volume": 80367436, "typical_volume": 39176116.6, "trend": 0.01467, "fair_value": 0.029696, "relative_strength": -56.27149, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.125054, "energy": 84.931836, "activity_lines": [ 0.008317, 0.010241, 0.013105, 0.014019 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-08", "close": 0.008, "volume": 22519752, "typical_volume": 38127025.2, "trend": 0.014412, "fair_value": 0.029596, "relative_strength": -56.702987, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.70657, "energy": 82.571475, "activity_lines": [ 0.007977, 0.009535, 0.012453, 0.013589 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-15", "close": 0.00805, "volume": 13897405, "typical_volume": 37590143.3, "trend": 0.014222, "fair_value": 0.029492, "relative_strength": -55.721502, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.662316, "energy": 77.696116, "activity_lines": [ 0.008003, 0.008992, 0.011859, 0.013178 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-22", "close": 0.0081, "volume": 49361742, "typical_volume": 39372329.9, "trend": 0.014033, "fair_value": 0.029379, "relative_strength": -55.218656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.435478, "energy": 70.136484, "activity_lines": [ 0.008057, 0.008594, 0.011318, 0.012783 ] }, { "date": "2025-08-29", "close": 0.00825, "volume": 20913265, "typical_volume": 38983271.0, "trend": 0.013875, "fair_value": 0.029252, "relative_strength": -52.560244, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.770127, "energy": 75.525437, "activity_lines": [ 0.008137, 0.008353, 0.010825, 0.01241 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-05", "close": 0.0084, "volume": 25106586, "typical_volume": 39523787.95, "trend": 0.013713, "fair_value": 0.029117, "relative_strength": -50.62483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.462854, "energy": 67.135206, "activity_lines": [ 0.008227, 0.008221, 0.010383, 0.012057 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-12", "close": 0.008, "volume": 46177619, "typical_volume": 41297974.2, "trend": 0.013503, "fair_value": 0.028995, "relative_strength": -52.375538, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.834466, "energy": 66.845719, "activity_lines": [ 0.008173, 0.008114, 0.009943, 0.011688 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-19", "close": 0.0081, "volume": 40047114, "typical_volume": 39216668.55, "trend": 0.01334, "fair_value": 0.0289, "relative_strength": -50.471328, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.91198, "energy": 70.560486, "activity_lines": [ 0.008153, 0.00812, 0.009551, 0.01134 ] }, { "date": "2025-09-26", "close": 0.0073, "volume": 45003064, "typical_volume": 40930091.5, "trend": 0.013117, "fair_value": 0.028803, "relative_strength": -54.734853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.326153, "energy": 68.505219, "activity_lines": [ 0.007863, 0.007983, 0.009132, 0.01095 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-03", "close": 0.00745, "volume": 59051098, "typical_volume": 43055723.3, "trend": 0.012773, "fair_value": 0.028695, "relative_strength": -53.600023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.233818, "energy": 73.054386, "activity_lines": [ 0.007677, 0.007881, 0.008781, 0.010584 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-10", "close": 0.01, "volume": 258357623, "typical_volume": 54976275.45, "trend": 0.012615, "fair_value": 0.02862, "relative_strength": -35.906736, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.550537, "energy": 49.449674, "activity_lines": [ 0.008393, 0.008246, 0.00873, 0.010405 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-17", "close": 0.01225, "volume": 173018278, "typical_volume": 58890813.15, "trend": 0.01239, "fair_value": 0.028564, "relative_strength": -19.525229, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.688343, "energy": 16.312991, "activity_lines": [ 0.009753, 0.008989, 0.008942, 0.010382 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-24", "close": 0.01575, "volume": 126876104, "typical_volume": 64307041.35, "trend": 0.012307, "fair_value": 0.02853, "relative_strength": 1.735198, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 30.615648, "energy": 47.470492, "activity_lines": [ 0.011997, 0.010291, 0.009507, 0.010599 ] }, { "date": "2025-10-31", "close": 0.0155, "volume": 93719404, "typical_volume": 68013856.25, "trend": 0.012315, "fair_value": 0.0285, "relative_strength": 0.778014, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.832689, "energy": 61.456366, "activity_lines": [ 0.013647, 0.011407, 0.010048, 0.010805 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-07", "close": 0.01175, "volume": 110819275, "typical_volume": 71250921.85, "trend": 0.012182, "fair_value": 0.028461, "relative_strength": -21.564576, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.526764, "energy": 48.363338, "activity_lines": [ 0.0135, 0.011707, 0.01023, 0.010768 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-14", "close": 0.01075, "volume": 47443241, "typical_volume": 72578172.4, "trend": 0.011973, "fair_value": 0.028414, "relative_strength": -27.568358, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.41285, "energy": 43.98429, "activity_lines": [ 0.012733, 0.011762, 0.010322, 0.010676 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-21", "close": 0.01025, "volume": 25932057, "typical_volume": 73236640.95, "trend": 0.011782, "fair_value": 0.028371, "relative_strength": -29.101148, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -4.042691, "energy": 14.803865, "activity_lines": [ 0.01175, 0.011683, 0.01038, 0.010565 ] }, { "date": "2025-11-28", "close": 0.00935, "volume": 33633921, "typical_volume": 70141342.95, "trend": 0.011477, "fair_value": 0.028312, "relative_strength": -35.962718, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.379953, "energy": 28.577515, "activity_lines": [ 0.0106, 0.011399, 0.010367, 0.010408 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-05", "close": 0.00925, "volume": 20090731, "typical_volume": 68552144.5, "trend": 0.011168, "fair_value": 0.02817, "relative_strength": -35.396098, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.284102, "energy": 31.80459, "activity_lines": [ 0.009843, 0.011075, 0.010339, 0.010264 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-12", "close": 0.0125, "volume": 115809503, "typical_volume": 70407260.9, "trend": 0.010935, "fair_value": 0.028038, "relative_strength": -11.949583, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.295747, "energy": 14.366818, "activity_lines": [ 0.010587, 0.011305, 0.010613, 0.01035 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-19", "close": 0.0105, "volume": 56048430, "typical_volume": 69191310.6, "trend": 0.010612, "fair_value": 0.027878, "relative_strength": -27.167016, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -2.593442, "energy": 8.024722, "activity_lines": [ 0.010613, 0.011081, 0.010674, 0.010322 ] }, { "date": "2025-12-26", "close": 0.0105, "volume": 4136267, "typical_volume": 68272136.35, "trend": 0.010412, "fair_value": 0.027655, "relative_strength": -26.213286, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.424907, "energy": 2.885619, "activity_lines": [ 0.010657, 0.010847, 0.010724, 0.010315 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-02", "close": 0.011, "volume": 4543054, "typical_volume": 67804418.8, "trend": 0.010262, "fair_value": 0.027378, "relative_strength": -22.582156, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.322308, "energy": 15.914165, "activity_lines": [ 0.01085, 0.010736, 0.01081, 0.010353 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-09", "close": 0.012, "volume": 29160963, "typical_volume": 66794379.85, "trend": 0.010153, "fair_value": 0.027135, "relative_strength": -16.173814, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.780552, "energy": 18.749382, "activity_lines": [ 0.011267, 0.010894, 0.010976, 0.010465 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-16", "close": 0.0115, "volume": 33695063, "typical_volume": 67433469.75, "trend": 0.010112, "fair_value": 0.026891, "relative_strength": -19.998883, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.345531, "energy": 21.240095, "activity_lines": [ 0.011333, 0.011024, 0.011077, 0.010552 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-23", "close": 0.01225, "volume": 23139081, "typical_volume": 67335094.5, "trend": 0.010062, "fair_value": 0.026713, "relative_strength": -13.524437, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.179169, "energy": 39.280492, "activity_lines": [ 0.011717, 0.011295, 0.011234, 0.01069 ] }, { "date": "2026-01-30", "close": 0.01025, "volume": 45140357, "typical_volume": 67283231.4, "trend": 0.009962, "fair_value": 0.026597, "relative_strength": -27.715966, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.171916, "energy": 21.610042, "activity_lines": [ 0.011317, 0.011175, 0.011182, 0.010702 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-06", "close": 0.00975, "volume": 37594801, "typical_volume": 67160615.75, "trend": 0.010013, "fair_value": 0.026462, "relative_strength": -31.659978, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.979425, "energy": 5.50051, "activity_lines": [ 0.010767, 0.010964, 0.011071, 0.010688 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-13", "close": 0.01125, "volume": 33764957, "typical_volume": 66598710.4, "trend": 0.01013, "fair_value": 0.02634, "relative_strength": -21.106097, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.700539, "energy": 10.01355, "activity_lines": [ 0.0108, 0.011018, 0.011096, 0.010768 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-20", "close": 0.012, "volume": 53257495, "typical_volume": 66309030.25, "trend": 0.010275, "fair_value": 0.026219, "relative_strength": -17.299449, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.501305, "energy": 13.384592, "activity_lines": [ 0.011133, 0.011173, 0.011173, 0.010889 ] }, { "date": "2026-02-27", "close": 0.01175, "volume": 19260696, "typical_volume": 54354183.9, "trend": 0.010392, "fair_value": 0.026057, "relative_strength": -20.103006, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.696539, "energy": 19.047009, "activity_lines": [ 0.01135, 0.011291, 0.011205, 0.010984 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-06", "close": 0.01275, "volume": 52687355, "typical_volume": 48337637.75, "trend": 0.01055, "fair_value": 0.025879, "relative_strength": -6.959093, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.358749, "energy": 36.057239, "activity_lines": [ 0.011933, 0.011568, 0.011323, 0.011136 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-13", "close": 0.01225, "volume": 31327127, "typical_volume": 43560188.9, "trend": 0.01069, "fair_value": 0.025698, "relative_strength": -9.731353, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.547553, "energy": 41.832587, "activity_lines": [ 0.012183, 0.011714, 0.011392, 0.011246 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-20", "close": 0.0115, "volume": 25525230, "typical_volume": 40150480.2, "trend": 0.010803, "fair_value": 0.025528, "relative_strength": -10.984869, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.395515, "energy": 36.615649, "activity_lines": [ 0.012017, 0.0117, 0.011405, 0.011298 ] }, { "date": "2026-03-27", "close": 0.0125, "volume": 27314068, "typical_volume": 35975219.85, "trend": 0.010945, "fair_value": 0.025358, "relative_strength": -2.492261, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.990072, "energy": 36.075473, "activity_lines": [ 0.012167, 0.011877, 0.011534, 0.011407 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-03", "close": 0.012, "volume": 9549875, "typical_volume": 34080551.55, "trend": 0.011065, "fair_value": 0.025167, "relative_strength": -9.593402, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.096766, "energy": 22.999756, "activity_lines": [ 0.012117, 0.011945, 0.01161, 0.011475 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-10", "close": 0.01325, "volume": 28221773, "typical_volume": 34195037.35, "trend": 0.01124, "fair_value": 0.024879, "relative_strength": -0.628981, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.665196, "energy": 29.138463, "activity_lines": [ 0.012467, 0.012245, 0.0118, 0.011616 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-17", "close": 0.0125, "volume": 31138179, "typical_volume": 34070250.25, "trend": 0.011387, "fair_value": 0.0246, "relative_strength": -5.569445, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.222946, "energy": 28.156321, "activity_lines": [ 0.012533, 0.012355, 0.011905, 0.011698 ] }, { "date": "2026-04-24", "close": 0.0145, "volume": 29401538, "typical_volume": 34535790.6, "trend": 0.011627, "fair_value": 0.024366, "relative_strength": 13.470988, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.329031, "energy": 47.681487, "activity_lines": [ 0.01325, 0.012777, 0.012185, 0.011899 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-01", "close": 0.0135, "volume": 15837236, "typical_volume": 29537177.25, "trend": 0.011828, "fair_value": 0.024052, "relative_strength": 7.223016, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.905819, "energy": 48.835821, "activity_lines": [ 0.013433, 0.012959, 0.012344, 0.012019 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 0.013, "volume": 19722713, "typical_volume": 27720891.4, "trend": 0.011928, "fair_value": 0.02368, "relative_strength": 6.069524, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.055723, "energy": 38.861187, "activity_lines": [ 0.013383, 0.013023, 0.012451, 0.012095 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 0.01375, "volume": 19092904, "typical_volume": 28468723.25, "trend": 0.011978, "fair_value": 0.023374, "relative_strength": 14.248708, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.493959, "energy": 42.814389, "activity_lines": [ 0.013517, 0.0132, 0.012618, 0.012213 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 0.013, "volume": 29082579, "typical_volume": 29695699.5, "trend": 0.011887, "fair_value": 0.02315, "relative_strength": 7.096664, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.620394, "energy": 26.401735, "activity_lines": [ 0.013367, 0.013223, 0.012698, 0.012278 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-29", "close": 0.01175, "volume": 47311903, "typical_volume": 30603246.5, "trend": 0.011762, "fair_value": 0.022918, "relative_strength": -1.441924, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.374293, "energy": 12.701205, "activity_lines": [ 0.012767, 0.013005, 0.012649, 0.01227 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-05", "close": 0.01175, "volume": 15669924, "typical_volume": 29701989.55, "trend": 0.011762, "fair_value": 0.022735, "relative_strength": -0.008451, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.427241, "energy": 12.842772, "activity_lines": [ 0.01235, 0.012782, 0.012601, 0.012269 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-12", "close": 0.01175, "volume": 1503065, "typical_volume": 28620188.75, "trend": 0.011795, "fair_value": 0.022541, "relative_strength": 0.022233, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.706103, "energy": 16.00647, "activity_lines": [ 0.01205, 0.012573, 0.012552, 0.012268 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 0.01125, "volume": 3842826, "typical_volume": 26555312.2, "trend": 0.011828, "fair_value": 0.02236, "relative_strength": -2.618865, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.19483, "energy": 22.511866, "activity_lines": [ 0.011667, 0.012277, 0.012458, 0.012233 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 0.01125, "volume": 2452687, "typical_volume": 24798206.5, "trend": 0.011892, "fair_value": 0.022163, "relative_strength": -3.137588, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.472777, "energy": 34.763391, "activity_lines": [ 0.01145, 0.012018, 0.01236, 0.012196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 0.011, "volume": 4998715, "typical_volume": 23359894.4, "trend": 0.01195, "fair_value": 0.021922, "relative_strength": -6.035459, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.392944, "energy": 40.2188, "activity_lines": [ 0.011267, 0.011736, 0.01223, 0.012138 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.01075, "volume": 12493442, "typical_volume": 21321691.75, "trend": 0.011892, "fair_value": 0.021652, "relative_strength": -6.756487, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.05149, "energy": 44.11036, "activity_lines": [ 0.01105, 0.011473, 0.012077, 0.012061 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.011, "volume": 6806754, "typical_volume": 20698994.65, "trend": 0.011908, "fair_value": 0.021421, "relative_strength": -5.806019, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.060965, "energy": 41.914275, "activity_lines": [ 0.010983, 0.011305, 0.011955, 0.012003 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.011, "volume": 7129256, "typical_volume": 18421089.7, "trend": 0.011925, "fair_value": 0.02119, "relative_strength": -7.298096, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.97627, "energy": 38.491354, "activity_lines": [ 0.010967, 0.011173, 0.011836, 0.011945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.01, "volume": 24531431, "typical_volume": 18081304.9, "trend": 0.011892, "fair_value": 0.020985, "relative_strength": -16.763379, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.459311, "energy": 59.188177, "activity_lines": [ 0.010633, 0.010909, 0.01163, 0.01182 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.01075, "volume": 18639531, "typical_volume": 17737019.95, "trend": 0.01185, "fair_value": 0.020797, "relative_strength": -10.956639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.081639, "energy": 48.722217, "activity_lines": [ 0.010633, 0.010836, 0.011506, 0.011747 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }