{ "ticker": { "uuid": "daf0c8f0-4731-41ad-9957-1104df036afd", "symbol": "688268", "name": "Guangdong Huate Gas Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.229, "architecture_energy": 20.39, "architecture_maturity": 73.685, "architecture_confidence": 70.019, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.3, "rotation_up": 19.12, "upward_expansion": 43.52, "deceleration": 85.02, "rotation_down": 41.25, "downward_expansion": 32.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 151.096666, 171.558319, 172.698013, 156.318318 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 155.600006, "trend_reference": 131.467717, "distance_from_trend": 0.183561, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 68.725896, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.264067, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 55.382302, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.361153, "excess_performance": 1.404357, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.183561, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.453099, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.264067, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.469994, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.553823, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.65983, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.361153, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.365928, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48862008, "relative_activity": 1.117222, "balance": 0.365928, "dry_up": 1.046456, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.282177, "annualized_volatility": 1.31905, "from_high_reference": -0.392621, "from_low_reference": 2.031366 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 131.467717, "fair_value_reference": 68.725896, "structural_low": 60.919998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.068708, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.063279, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.12827, "worst_return": -0.153457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.063338, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.07514, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116965, "worst_return": -0.077009, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.073676, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.101539, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.794203, "worst_return": -0.232824, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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149.009995, "volume": 48207023, "typical_volume": 44138959.35, "trend": 125.946717, "fair_value": 67.841384, "relative_strength": 58.898701, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.407057, "energy": 20.61253, "activity_lines": [ 179.368659, 186.791282, 175.805408, 154.491916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 126.849998, "volume": 45423416, "typical_volume": 43944896.35, "trend": 128.19405, "fair_value": 68.181682, "relative_strength": 32.722126, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.751441, "energy": 17.868644, "activity_lines": [ 156.95431, 176.224527, 172.997067, 154.550192 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 155.600006, "volume": 48862008, "typical_volume": 43735283.6, "trend": 131.467717, "fair_value": 68.725896, "relative_strength": 55.382302, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.228729, "energy": 20.389884, "activity_lines": [ 151.096666, 171.558319, 172.698013, 156.318318 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }