{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "daf57a88-e2ce-4d33-8e36-2a5df6596671",
    "symbol": "600868",
    "name": "Guangdong Meiyanjixiang Hydropower Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.958,
    "architecture_energy": 52.533,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.648,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.859,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 8.92,
        "rotation_up": 27.21,
        "upward_expansion": 13.54,
        "deceleration": 60.78,
        "rotation_down": 50.95,
        "downward_expansion": 77.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.671333,
        2.682545,
        2.933095,
        3.157118
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 2.81,
    "trend_reference": 3.459333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.187705,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.752564,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.020866,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.992519,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.361364,
    "excess_performance": -0.31816,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187705,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056202,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020866,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.293245,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.139925,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.150031,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.361364,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.926819,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 250566975,
      "relative_activity": 0.803713,
      "balance": 0.926819,
      "dry_up": 0.930802,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104298,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.507773,
      "from_high_reference": -0.482505,
      "from_low_reference": 0.190678
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.459333,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.752564,
      "structural_low": 2.36,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.012759,
        "positive_rate": 0.642857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009909,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
        "best_return": 0.167598,
        "worst_return": -0.286344,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.7,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.330612,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.010526,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.076435,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 341992670.5,
        "trend": 3.477,
        "fair_value": 2.752115,
        "relative_strength": -14.854283,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.917907,
        "energy": 61.694617,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.81,
        "volume": 250566975,
        "typical_volume": 311761586.15,
        "trend": 3.459333,
        "fair_value": 2.752564,
        "relative_strength": -13.992519,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -61.958151,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}