{ "ticker": { "uuid": "daf98b84-7765-4208-bb22-bc6048bcef8c", "symbol": "UTL", "name": "UNITIL Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 92.583, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.588, "architecture_energy": 45.085, "architecture_maturity": 10.709, "architecture_confidence": 74.829, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.15, "rotation_up": 60.17, "upward_expansion": 80.52, "deceleration": 51.29, "rotation_down": 13.81, "downward_expansion": 7.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 54.220667, 53.785818, 52.876645, 52.547711 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 53.73, "trend_reference": 51.970413, "distance_from_trend": 0.033857, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 49.943736, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075811, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.848222, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.082367, "excess_performance": -0.043258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033857, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036552, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.075811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059811, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.038482, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05698, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082367, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.261988, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 658518, "relative_activity": 1.065443, "balance": 1.261988, "dry_up": 0.901012, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047168, "annualized_volatility": 0.192375, "from_high_reference": -0.061649, "from_low_reference": 0.238672 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.970413, "fair_value_reference": 49.943736, "structural_low": 48.39, 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49.738999, "relative_strength": -3.409134, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.429393, "energy": 46.065102, "activity_lines": [ 52.967333, 52.235674, 52.01837, 51.772248 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 54.55, "volume": 651040, "typical_volume": 684852.15, "trend": 51.332531, "fair_value": 49.779504, "relative_strength": 1.027429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.704641, "energy": 58.72862, "activity_lines": [ 53.602, 52.758545, 52.260839, 51.996167 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.58, "volume": 454235, "typical_volume": 676611.9, "trend": 51.586772, "fair_value": 49.834202, "relative_strength": 3.656596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.209584, "energy": 64.978206, "activity_lines": [ 54.404, 53.391091, 52.588439, 52.270197 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 53.94, "volume": 463761, "typical_volume": 668138.55, "trend": 51.781765, "fair_value": 49.89038, "relative_strength": -0.25538, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.613651, "energy": 51.725591, "activity_lines": [ 54.351333, 53.626909, 52.745566, 52.422018 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 53.73, "volume": 658518, "typical_volume": 618069.85, "trend": 51.970413, "fair_value": 49.943736, "relative_strength": -3.848222, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.588022, "energy": 45.08501, "activity_lines": [ 54.220667, 53.785818, 52.876645, 52.547711 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }