{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db2165d7-31ab-4705-847e-cd328072cde3", "symbol": "600537", "name": "EGing Photovoltaic Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.17, "architecture_energy": 85.0, "architecture_maturity": 42.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.648, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.54, "rotation_up": 14.46, "upward_expansion": 21.15, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 73.35, "downward_expansion": 96.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.232667, 2.377455, 2.682762, 2.909957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 2.19, "trend_reference": 3.138, "distance_from_trend": -0.302103, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.692051, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.406834, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.180491, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.302548, "excess_performance": -0.259344, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.302103, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151892, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.406834, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.181321, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.371805, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159526, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.302548, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.768283, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 88834701, "relative_activity": 0.291855, "balance": 0.768283, "dry_up": 0.282983, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144362, "annualized_volatility": 0.633421, "from_high_reference": -0.572266, "from_low_reference": 0.117347 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.138, "fair_value_reference": 3.692051, "structural_low": 1.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.020694, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": -0.022041, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.313351, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.146572, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.057632, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.601108, "worst_return": -0.398352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.360731, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.155617, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.36643, "worst_return": -0.502273, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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364907520.35, "trend": 3.274, "fair_value": 3.750513, "relative_strength": -37.73415, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.421, "energy": 73.690594, "activity_lines": [ 2.380667, 2.525273, 2.851714, 3.043355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.22, "volume": 80627072, "typical_volume": 336263413.8, "trend": 3.203667, "fair_value": 3.720833, "relative_strength": -35.23732, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.682442, "energy": 83.990027, "activity_lines": [ 2.302667, 2.445636, 2.765714, 2.975355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.19, "volume": 88834701, "typical_volume": 304379751.0, "trend": 3.138, "fair_value": 3.692051, "relative_strength": -37.180491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.17042, "energy": 84.999774, "activity_lines": [ 2.232667, 2.377455, 2.682762, 2.909957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }