{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db3a1567-b4f7-4989-8cc2-f93d8a451bff", "symbol": "600360", "name": "Jilin Sino-Microelectronics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.741, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.272, "architecture_energy": 25.783, "architecture_maturity": 87.214, "architecture_confidence": 74.393, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.04, "rotation_up": 20.91, "upward_expansion": 51.85, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 48.9, "downward_expansion": 29.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.639333, 11.816891, 11.7842, 11.243956 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.51, "trend_reference": 10.482024, "distance_from_trend": 0.002669, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.980924, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.505531, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 10.6551, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.208046, "excess_performance": 0.25125, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.002669, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.154613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.505531, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.167313, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.106551, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08272, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.208046, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.778167, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 348461203, "relative_activity": 1.301203, "balance": 1.778167, "dry_up": 1.895315, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.227388, "annualized_volatility": 0.776768, "from_high_reference": -0.430661, "from_low_reference": 0.372063 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.482024, "fair_value_reference": 6.980924, "structural_low": 8.41, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.017788, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.0202, "regime_survival": 0.695652, "best_return": 0.511677, "worst_return": -0.167455, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.015495, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.015388, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.397119, "worst_return": -0.212867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.02503, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.038672, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.42348, "worst_return": -0.662546, "sufficient": true }, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.309035, "energy": 50.129231, "activity_lines": [ 13.932667, 13.289107, 12.148068, 11.326132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.93, "volume": 477704488, "typical_volume": 240212481.3, "trend": 10.351691, "fair_value": 6.942584, "relative_strength": 8.541836, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.019074, "energy": 25.155998, "activity_lines": [ 12.64, 12.766709, 12.030398, 11.303227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.32, "volume": 341102842, "typical_volume": 253393278.9, "trend": 10.397024, "fair_value": 6.957401, "relative_strength": 1.105408, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.43371, "energy": 12.426025, "activity_lines": [ 11.308667, 12.160157, 11.850775, 11.236667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.51, "volume": 348461203, "typical_volume": 267799316.45, "trend": 10.482024, "fair_value": 6.980924, "relative_strength": 10.6551, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.271627, "energy": 25.783093, "activity_lines": [ 10.639333, 11.816891, 11.7842, 11.243956 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }