{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db3a622c-0a0c-4f76-a01f-c8d5eb3a79e5", "symbol": "B1BW34", "name": "Bath & Body Works, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 63.934, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.437, "architecture_energy": 40.997, "architecture_maturity": 38.349, "architecture_confidence": 64.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.55, "rotation_up": 14.22, "upward_expansion": 16.82, "deceleration": 58.5, "rotation_down": 67.47, "downward_expansion": 68.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.316, 26.236182, 25.653187, 25.861408 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 24.41, "trend_reference": 26.514126, "distance_from_trend": -0.079359, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.517721, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.412058, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.860198, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.167024, "excess_performance": -0.109976, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079359, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.412058, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011269, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.188602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.189787, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.167024, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.235169, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.235169, "dry_up": 0.009557, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053872, "annualized_volatility": 0.479823, "from_high_reference": -0.370061, "from_low_reference": 0.256494 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.514126, "fair_value_reference": 41.517721, "structural_low": 22.280001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.004097, "positive_rate": 0.459459, "directional_follow_through": 0.513514, "median_excess_return": -0.011881, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 0.483003, "worst_return": -0.411104, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.048137, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.000337, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.418451, "worst_return": -0.271533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.025693, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.137915, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.564283, "worst_return": -0.31208, "sufficient": true }, { 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11, "typical_volume": 287.75, "trend": 26.74106, "fair_value": 41.766625, "relative_strength": -22.912499, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 3.917928, "energy": 40.962518, "activity_lines": [ 27.370667, 26.845972, 25.874708, 26.158139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.41, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 287.75, "trend": 26.678272, "fair_value": 41.651583, "relative_strength": -22.973902, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.172471, "energy": 19.462925, "activity_lines": [ 26.222, 26.552093, 25.751995, 26.007748 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 24.41, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 287.75, "trend": 26.514126, "fair_value": 41.517721, "relative_strength": -18.860198, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.436759, "energy": 40.997137, "activity_lines": [ 25.316, 26.236182, 25.653187, 25.861408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }