{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db3c3f2c-2dee-47e1-b592-2ca3396876c1", "symbol": "6728", "name": "Up Young Cornerstone Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.794, "architecture_energy": 26.864, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 74.393, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.85, "rotation_up": 27.54, "upward_expansion": 20.43, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 30.45, "downward_expansion": 59.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.290411, 103.621047, 104.36296, 106.990647 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 106.0, "trend_reference": 112.166438, "distance_from_trend": -0.054976, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 119.353615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.111883, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.916804, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.180441, "excess_performance": -0.621813, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054976, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060324, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.111883, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020977, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379168, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092561, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.180441, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.295675, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 126612, "relative_activity": 0.872365, "balance": 1.295675, "dry_up": 0.875245, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031935, "annualized_volatility": 0.139514, "from_high_reference": -0.228155, "from_low_reference": 0.068145 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.166438, "fair_value_reference": 119.353615, "structural_low": 99.237438, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.009009, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.025778, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.258333, "worst_return": -0.080321, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.041725, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.056874, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.329167, "worst_return": -0.109434, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.056471, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.026574, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.241245, "worst_return": -0.157143, "sufficient": false }, 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"energy": 52.419823, "activity_lines": [ 102.341554, 102.734912, 104.457991, 107.966171 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 105.5, "volume": 180343, "typical_volume": 146984.7, "trend": 112.991399, "fair_value": 119.421146, "relative_strength": -37.043325, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.397974, "energy": 37.426472, "activity_lines": [ 103.300305, 103.129599, 104.362384, 107.441705 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 106.0, "volume": 126612, "typical_volume": 145136.55, "trend": 112.166438, "fair_value": 119.353615, "relative_strength": -37.916804, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.794387, "energy": 26.863969, "activity_lines": [ 104.290411, 103.621047, 104.36296, 106.990647 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }