{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db511cd8-15c6-40bc-8be3-c5c0eab25369", "symbol": "CTW", "name": "Charoong Thai Wire and Cable Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.114, "architecture_energy": 37.89, "architecture_maturity": 77.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.4, "rotation_up": 28.16, "upward_expansion": 62.94, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 27.83, "downward_expansion": 19.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.386667, 6.59, 6.01319, 5.416592 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 6.3, "trend_reference": 4.613584, "distance_from_trend": 0.365533, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.800665, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.657604, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 46.454731, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.215068, "excess_performance": 1.022743, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.365533, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.385401, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.657604, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.762081, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.464547, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.51434, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.215068, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.395948, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 263900, "relative_activity": 0.24055, "balance": 4.395948, "dry_up": 0.608302, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10757, "annualized_volatility": 0.768544, "from_high_reference": -0.148649, "from_low_reference": 1.526563 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.613584, "fair_value_reference": 3.800665, "structural_low": 2.746753, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.916667, "energy": 78.207221, "activity_lines": [ 6.933333, 6.471273, 5.49401, 4.878409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.6, "volume": 1274500, "typical_volume": 1078060.0, "trend": 4.270143, "fair_value": 3.76732, "relative_strength": 56.69507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.400512, "energy": 64.473397, "activity_lines": [ 6.8, 6.620182, 5.66681, 5.036674 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.6, "volume": 763500, "typical_volume": 1103000.0, "trend": 4.392091, "fair_value": 3.780406, "relative_strength": 54.31243, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.845489, "energy": 55.718102, "activity_lines": [ 6.69, 6.709091, 5.822095, 5.186987 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.15, "volume": 367500, "typical_volume": 1105250.0, "trend": 4.499039, "fair_value": 3.789871, "relative_strength": 43.873435, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.167886, "energy": 45.739069, "activity_lines": [ 6.476667, 6.653636, 5.917381, 5.300401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.3, "volume": 263900, "typical_volume": 1097070.0, "trend": 4.613584, "fair_value": 3.800665, "relative_strength": 46.454731, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.114244, "energy": 37.889624, "activity_lines": [ 6.386667, 6.59, 6.01319, 5.416592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }