{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db5e1747-abcd-4e81-a35e-4dfeb30fef0d", "symbol": "9514", "name": "Mohammed Hasan AlNaqool Sons Co.", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.821, "architecture_energy": 47.398, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.153, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.4, "rotation_up": 38.96, "upward_expansion": 69.07, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 27.8, "downward_expansion": 21.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.649333, 41.150273, 38.073286, 34.559376 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 40.0, "trend_reference": 30.134, "distance_from_trend": 0.327404, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.158558, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.655728, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 49.595378, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.870033, "excess_performance": 0.901862, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.327404, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.256884, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.655728, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.438101, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.495954, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.20398, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.870033, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.157059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18851, "relative_activity": 0.221911, "balance": 4.157059, "dry_up": 0.524225, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.082413, "annualized_volatility": 0.476643, "from_high_reference": -0.119912, "from_low_reference": 1.331002 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.134, "fair_value_reference": 24.158558, "structural_low": 17.16, "invalidation": "A 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"volume": 70678, "typical_volume": 79211.1, "trend": 26.358833, "fair_value": 23.733173, "relative_strength": 79.177939, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.40204, "energy": 96.209328, "activity_lines": [ 39.693334, 36.595001, 32.067953, 29.320151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 44.099998, "volume": 33060, "typical_volume": 80396.4, "trend": 27.1955, "fair_value": 23.820353, "relative_strength": 78.595756, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.722737, "energy": 95.085198, "activity_lines": [ 41.665, 38.444546, 33.573477, 30.464742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 43.099998, "volume": 17760, "typical_volume": 79687.1, "trend": 27.886167, "fair_value": 23.908173, "relative_strength": 71.575603, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.44039, "energy": 89.475555, "activity_lines": [ 42.664999, 39.811364, 34.873762, 31.490839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 42.150002, "volume": 55774, "typical_volume": 81463.5, "trend": 28.548167, "fair_value": 23.979968, "relative_strength": 66.140156, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.412519, "energy": 81.958699, "activity_lines": [ 42.825, 40.712727, 35.971191, 32.411086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.5, "volume": 52140, "typical_volume": 82944.7, "trend": 29.015667, "fair_value": 24.032212, "relative_strength": 52.430728, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.135025, "energy": 65.860489, "activity_lines": [ 41.825, 40.885455, 36.702143, 33.117656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.959999, "volume": 51363, "typical_volume": 84717.45, "trend": 29.597667, "fair_value": 24.09734, "relative_strength": 58.77427, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.498558, "energy": 60.181831, "activity_lines": [ 41.303333, 41.163636, 37.480714, 33.888258 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.0, "volume": 18851, "typical_volume": 84948.3, "trend": 30.134, "fair_value": 24.158558, "relative_strength": 49.595378, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.821072, "energy": 47.398392, "activity_lines": [ 40.649333, 41.150273, 38.073286, 34.559376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }