{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db68295c-393a-4574-8f23-4b07aeee8a26", "symbol": "TENG", "name": "Ten Lifestyle Group Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 77.7, "architecture_energy": 70.154, "architecture_maturity": 32.418, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.36, "rotation_up": 57.96, "upward_expansion": 85.02, "deceleration": 51.8, "rotation_down": 22.94, "downward_expansion": 14.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.936, 0.920182, 0.907988, 0.867 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.97, "trend_reference": 0.81375, "distance_from_trend": 0.192012, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.707663, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.370708, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.87262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.426471, "excess_performance": 0.375235, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.192012, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118429, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.370708, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004436, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.238726, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154558, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.426471, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.462517, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2013430, "relative_activity": 3.209015, "balance": 4.462517, "dry_up": 2.425183, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044556, "annualized_volatility": 0.352139, "from_high_reference": -0.015228, "from_low_reference": 0.979592 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.81375, "fair_value_reference": 0.707663, "structural_low": 0.63, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.03238, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.040163, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.359155, "worst_return": -0.08658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.017241, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.006178, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.375, "worst_return": -0.097087, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.024272, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.075298, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.24183, "worst_return": -0.131915, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 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"color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.205776, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.017021, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044898, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.017241, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.174528, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.304231, "energy": 31.833323, "activity_lines": [ 0.898667, 0.904091, 0.887976, 0.847382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.94, "volume": 1227195, "typical_volume": 532184.65, "trend": 0.806667, "fair_value": 0.707231, "relative_strength": 21.188419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.401263, "energy": 43.462968, "activity_lines": [ 0.913333, 0.909409, 0.897131, 0.856462 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.97, "volume": 2013430, "typical_volume": 627429.3, "trend": 0.81375, "fair_value": 0.707663, "relative_strength": 23.87262, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.699978, "energy": 70.153927, "activity_lines": [ 0.936, 0.920182, 0.907988, 0.867 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }