{ "ticker": { "uuid": "db8fb710-29ce-44d3-8fa5-604ba6176738", "symbol": "3260", "name": "ADATA Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.436, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 25.855, "architecture_energy": 12.219, "architecture_maturity": 31.209, "architecture_confidence": 68.728, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.0, "rotation_up": 31.32, "upward_expansion": 52.26, "deceleration": 64.55, "rotation_down": 24.19, "downward_expansion": 20.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 400.133333, 399.490909, 405.019048, 397.444566 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 402.0, "trend_reference": 378.378986, "distance_from_trend": 0.062427, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 152.644948, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.633562, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 6.870766, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.355474, "excess_performance": -0.085898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.062427, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.215241, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.633562, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.771087, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.068708, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.426718, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.355474, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.193369, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48775416, "relative_activity": 0.560934, "balance": 1.193369, "dry_up": 0.731641, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111079, "annualized_volatility": 0.635536, "from_high_reference": -0.22093, "from_low_reference": 3.505995 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 378.378986, "fair_value_reference": 152.644948, "structural_low": 244.807618, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.096862, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.023282, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.38814, "worst_return": -0.13357, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.217214, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.179319, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.548841, "worst_return": -0.07541, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.908018, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.54604, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.356634, "worst_return": 0.459402, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 34386992, "typical_volume": 91403224.9, "trend": 362.325875, "fair_value": 146.203117, "relative_strength": 11.045848, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.355025, "energy": 10.614363, "activity_lines": [ 388.766667, 398.6, 404.565995, 390.191354 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 398.5, "volume": 92804634, "typical_volume": 87056388.45, "trend": 368.464954, "fair_value": 148.312403, "relative_strength": 15.434704, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.271106, "energy": 11.408055, "activity_lines": [ 390.366667, 397.4, 404.145238, 392.525168 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 416.0, "volume": 78509181, "typical_volume": 86938386.85, "trend": 373.284383, "fair_value": 150.51211, "relative_strength": 15.923949, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.216759, "energy": 12.250315, "activity_lines": [ 397.733333, 399.727273, 405.15, 395.591945 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 402.0, "volume": 48775416, "typical_volume": 86953907.35, "trend": 378.378986, "fair_value": 152.644948, "relative_strength": 6.870766, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.8548, "energy": 12.218843, "activity_lines": [ 400.133333, 399.490909, 405.019048, 397.444566 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }