{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dba4087c-1962-42f5-8012-d9255660e6d9", "symbol": "TTEN3", "name": "Tr\u00eas Tentos Agroindustrial S/A", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -84.814, "architecture_energy": 85.049, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.653, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 13.98, "upward_expansion": 23.37, "deceleration": 31.37, "rotation_down": 76.42, "downward_expansion": 89.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.076, 13.905818, 14.635857, 14.993484 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 11.4, "trend_reference": 15.398333, "distance_from_trend": -0.25966, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.159671, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133717, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.975824, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.267823, "excess_performance": -0.210774, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.25966, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036904, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.133717, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.43531, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.279758, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.228801, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267823, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.112794, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9095600, "relative_activity": 1.657482, "balance": 0.112794, "dry_up": 1.842709, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103981, "annualized_volatility": 0.474768, "from_high_reference": -0.363128, "from_low_reference": 0.004405 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.398333, "fair_value_reference": 13.159671, "structural_low": 11.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.012361, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009491, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.113462, "worst_return": -0.274348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.073585, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.003707, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.230216, "worst_return": -0.092351, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.175793, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.073903, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.399795, "worst_return": -0.12078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 5344175.0, "trend": 15.78623, "fair_value": 13.125136, "relative_strength": -5.569142, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.468709, "energy": 22.020581, "activity_lines": [ 15.127333, 15.075818, 15.409905, 15.576763 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.57, "volume": 2776100, "typical_volume": 5231405.0, "trend": 15.7646, "fair_value": 13.144623, "relative_strength": -3.996455, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.623671, "energy": 18.899281, "activity_lines": [ 15.357333, 15.118364, 15.40781, 15.562813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.03, "volume": 2856900, "typical_volume": 4682075.0, "trend": 15.722333, "fair_value": 13.165039, "relative_strength": -7.172108, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.102929, "energy": 18.466963, "activity_lines": [ 15.339333, 15.086182, 15.361619, 15.515419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.8, "volume": 25719600, "typical_volume": 5373000.0, "trend": 15.567667, "fair_value": 13.163266, "relative_strength": -28.218023, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.154506, "energy": 52.647669, "activity_lines": [ 14.162667, 14.496364, 15.010714, 15.262366 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.4, "volume": 9095600, "typical_volume": 5487600.0, "trend": 15.398333, "fair_value": 13.159671, "relative_strength": -27.975824, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.813664, "energy": 85.049395, "activity_lines": [ 13.076, 13.905818, 14.635857, 14.993484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }