{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dba75a86-735a-445c-b039-35ef31a28355", "symbol": "YDUQ3", "name": "Yduqs Participa\u00e7\u00f5es S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -69.532, "architecture_energy": 67.108, "architecture_maturity": 62.495, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.78, "rotation_up": 21.21, "upward_expansion": 13.38, "deceleration": 43.37, "rotation_down": 61.52, "downward_expansion": 86.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.156667, 8.391636, 8.931952, 9.576409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.96, "trend_reference": 10.568667, "distance_from_trend": -0.24683, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.68482, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.372478, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.928547, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.41037, "excess_performance": -0.353322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.24683, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105237, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.372478, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19408, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.329285, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051025, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.41037, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.319508, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13247400, "relative_activity": 0.884683, "balance": 0.319508, "dry_up": 1.226903, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101179, "annualized_volatility": 0.501786, "from_high_reference": -0.479398, "from_low_reference": 0.074224 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.568667, "fair_value_reference": 12.68482, "structural_low": 7.41, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": -0.029321, "positive_rate": 0.452381, "directional_follow_through": 0.547619, "median_excess_return": -0.02022, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.73399, "worst_return": -0.27098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.150996, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.107065, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.284341, "worst_return": -0.312523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.224169, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.349518, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 1.813851, "worst_return": -0.47773, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -63.467958, "energy": 48.050445, "activity_lines": [ 8.792667, 8.840364, 9.449476, 10.130432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.78, "volume": 34455000, "typical_volume": 17048570.0, "trend": 10.859333, "fair_value": 12.841118, "relative_strength": -36.726509, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.337786, "energy": 56.849635, "activity_lines": [ 8.482, 8.621273, 9.24, 9.92271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.26, "volume": 13207800, "typical_volume": 15794235.0, "trend": 10.728333, "fair_value": 12.77075, "relative_strength": -33.457951, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.312497, "energy": 53.693297, "activity_lines": [ 8.348, 8.521818, 9.095714, 9.755011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.96, "volume": 13247400, "typical_volume": 14974185.0, "trend": 10.568667, "fair_value": 12.68482, "relative_strength": -32.928547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.532028, "energy": 67.108104, "activity_lines": [ 8.156667, 8.391636, 8.931952, 9.576409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }