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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.566, "architecture_energy": 70.763, "architecture_maturity": 43.844, "architecture_confidence": 77.108, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.25, "rotation_up": 72.97, "upward_expansion": 90.0, "deceleration": 55.64, "rotation_down": 20.3, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 133.08978, 131.914083, 128.925429, 126.512734 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 135.0547, "trend_reference": 123.840453, "distance_from_trend": 0.090554, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 106.435674, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.268886, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.951661, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.115433, "excess_performance": -0.010192, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.090554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046939, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.268886, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072851, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.009517, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055222, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115433, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.792861, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13531, "relative_activity": 0.820036, "balance": 1.792861, "dry_up": 1.104194, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021112, "annualized_volatility": 0.109682, "from_high_reference": -0.003286, "from_low_reference": 0.233647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 123.840453, "fair_value_reference": 106.435674, "structural_low": 113.57, 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88.239064, "activity_lines": [ 130.596592, 128.64861, 125.558087, 123.817642 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 131.5383, "volume": 17600, "typical_volume": 15739.15, "trend": 122.110121, "fair_value": 105.612374, "relative_strength": 2.253006, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.68285, "energy": 86.892908, "activity_lines": [ 131.128627, 129.474344, 126.357783, 124.462678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 132.0346, "volume": 12974, "typical_volume": 16179.6, "trend": 122.656753, "fair_value": 105.871539, "relative_strength": 3.257341, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.739502, "energy": 83.331476, "activity_lines": [ 131.581427, 130.238271, 127.16392, 125.102967 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 132.7053, "volume": 28774, "typical_volume": 17015.25, "trend": 123.251867, "fair_value": 106.14653, "relative_strength": 2.665573, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.891753, "energy": 67.028251, "activity_lines": [ 132.011413, 130.93531, 127.970235, 125.751261 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 135.0547, "volume": 13531, "typical_volume": 16500.5, "trend": 123.840453, "fair_value": 106.435674, "relative_strength": 0.951661, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.566429, "energy": 70.763058, "activity_lines": [ 133.08978, 131.914083, 128.925429, 126.512734 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }