{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dbc807b0-7cfe-46ab-b4e5-4913c8de2ae1",
    "symbol": "1802",
    "name": "Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -30.244,
    "architecture_energy": 50.538,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.125,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.269,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.64,
        "rotation_up": 17.16,
        "upward_expansion": 18.61,
        "deceleration": 44.11,
        "rotation_down": 61.04,
        "downward_expansion": 55.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        53.173334,
        56.8,
        61.236667,
        61.23828
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 57.900002,
    "trend_reference": 59.48,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.026564,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 27.739423,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.087282,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.475969,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.216387,
    "excess_performance": -0.224985,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026564,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166885,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.087282,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.605838,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08476,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.373768,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.216387,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.383191,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 135277054,
      "relative_activity": 0.325164,
      "balance": 1.383191,
      "dry_up": 0.316706,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.174904,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.744719,
      "from_high_reference": -0.286946,
      "from_low_reference": 1.458599
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 59.48,
      "fair_value_reference": 27.739423,
      "structural_low": 42.049999,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.033854,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038564,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.030675,
        "worst_return": -0.051852,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.098765,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.151031,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.072727,
        "worst_return": -0.131902,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.059259,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.102455,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.273006,
        "worst_return": -0.136364,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.150617,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070606,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.055215,
        "worst_return": -0.281677,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.12931,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064433,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.133663,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.101796,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.079755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.201166,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.09507,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.015625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.477876,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.091858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
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        "return": 0.258993,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-10",
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        "return": 1.003082,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.192579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "return": 0.090396,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 26.904167,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 435357564.85,
        "trend": 57.751666,
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        "relative_strength": -14.723937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 18.822999,
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          58.666667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 45.700001,
        "volume": 123146098,
        "typical_volume": 439058941.8,
        "trend": 58.105,
        "fair_value": 27.294551,
        "relative_strength": -22.823756,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.894282,
        "energy": 52.78162,
        "activity_lines": [
          53.406667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.099998,
        "volume": 167308527,
        "typical_volume": 429272200.4,
        "trend": 58.716666,
        "fair_value": 27.508013,
        "relative_strength": -12.730779,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.496815,
        "energy": 50.923481,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.966666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 57.900002,
        "volume": 135277054,
        "typical_volume": 416027292.25,
        "trend": 59.48,
        "fair_value": 27.739423,
        "relative_strength": -8.475969,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.243755,
        "energy": 50.538125,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}