{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dbd80c54-2305-4696-959a-d0ae54cfa042", "symbol": "DASA3", "name": "Diagn\u00f3sticos da Am\u00e9rica S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.267, "architecture_energy": 22.07, "architecture_maturity": 70.507, "architecture_confidence": 72.03, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.71, "rotation_up": 25.63, "upward_expansion": 14.16, "deceleration": 46.68, "rotation_down": 33.58, "downward_expansion": 64.16 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.825333, 2.788727, 2.893905, 3.042172 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.9, "trend_reference": 3.312333, "distance_from_trend": -0.124484, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.116474, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.295514, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.845952, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.312796, "excess_performance": -0.255748, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124484, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059442, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.295514, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021199, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.00846, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172494, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.312796, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.725128, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5744100, "relative_activity": 0.985804, "balance": 1.725128, "dry_up": 0.882578, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.130239, "annualized_volatility": 0.549657, "from_high_reference": -0.392034, "from_low_reference": 1.377049 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.312333, "fair_value_reference": 4.116474, "structural_low": 2.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 50, "median_return": -0.061001, "positive_rate": 0.26, "directional_follow_through": 0.74, "median_excess_return": -0.066718, "regime_survival": 0.94, "best_return": 0.378731, "worst_return": -0.338295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.236085, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.220616, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 1.152, "worst_return": -0.406133, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.358006, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.332107, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.582353, "worst_return": -0.539374, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 2.721333, 2.773818, 2.943952, 3.148022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.07, "volume": 5431100, "typical_volume": 6034750.0, "trend": 3.410667, "fair_value": 4.236538, "relative_strength": 5.473962, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.427885, "energy": 30.345524, "activity_lines": [ 2.841333, 2.810182, 2.943619, 3.122753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.61, "volume": 6468100, "typical_volume": 5804765.0, "trend": 3.348333, "fair_value": 4.165513, "relative_strength": -12.824377, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.552766, "energy": 33.215783, "activity_lines": [ 2.779333, 2.769091, 2.902952, 3.071097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.9, "volume": 5744100, "typical_volume": 5826820.0, "trend": 3.312333, "fair_value": 4.116474, "relative_strength": -0.845952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.266994, "energy": 22.069821, "activity_lines": [ 2.825333, 2.788727, 2.893905, 3.042172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }