{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dbdd3e39-d10a-4f4e-8644-86f92aacd0b5", "symbol": "BEC", "name": "BEC World Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.557, "architecture_energy": 47.3, "architecture_maturity": 41.885, "architecture_confidence": 66.527, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 55.53, "upward_expansion": 80.08, "deceleration": 65.33, "rotation_down": 21.48, "downward_expansion": 6.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.110667, 2.098545, 2.020504, 1.983163 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.12, "trend_reference": 1.935744, "distance_from_trend": 0.095186, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.440727, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.383851, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.68226, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.202819, "excess_performance": 0.010494, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.095186, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049878, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.383851, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148039, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056823, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.225067, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.202819, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.713655, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2988400, "relative_activity": 0.84272, "balance": 1.713655, "dry_up": 0.746009, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048621, "annualized_volatility": 0.311301, "from_high_reference": -0.115503, "from_low_reference": 0.232558 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.935744, "fair_value_reference": 3.440727, "structural_low": 1.72, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.000178, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.013247, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": -0.091954, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.029851, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.026409, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.239131, "worst_return": -0.06682, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.014423, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018331, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.007463, "worst_return": -0.036308, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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2.086667, 2.027273, 1.955535, 1.931575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.12, "volume": 3450200, "typical_volume": 3970470.0, "trend": 1.905526, "fair_value": 3.540937, "relative_strength": -9.674937, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.844953, "energy": 77.067955, "activity_lines": [ 2.108, 2.055455, 1.973206, 1.946056 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.1, "volume": 2151000, "typical_volume": 3623060.0, "trend": 1.915161, "fair_value": 3.507196, "relative_strength": -9.925191, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.941767, "energy": 65.946803, "activity_lines": [ 2.112, 2.074727, 1.989114, 1.958603 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.1, "volume": 1992200, "typical_volume": 3527305.0, "trend": 1.924151, "fair_value": 3.474045, "relative_strength": -8.027242, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.587218, "energy": 49.891129, "activity_lines": [ 2.109333, 2.087636, 2.004245, 1.970528 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.12, "volume": 2988400, "typical_volume": 3546135.0, "trend": 1.935744, "fair_value": 3.440727, "relative_strength": -5.68226, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.55696, "energy": 47.300185, "activity_lines": [ 2.110667, 2.098545, 2.020504, 1.983163 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }