{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dbdd440a-004f-48a2-9a2a-86833e4ca4fc",
    "symbol": "ALTO",
    "name": "Alto Ingredients Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 79.739,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 0.621,
    "architecture_energy": 10.918,
    "architecture_maturity": 60.17,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.081,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 50.09,
        "rotation_up": 23.27,
        "upward_expansion": 47.53,
        "deceleration": 78.85,
        "rotation_down": 38.74,
        "downward_expansion": 34.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.814667,
        5.072182,
        5.110119,
        4.889108
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 4.39,
    "trend_reference": 4.4145,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.00555,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.35484,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.864246,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 20.932921,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.613971,
    "excess_performance": 0.426517,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00555,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.268595,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.864246,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.184729,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.209329,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.479089,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.613971,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.122427,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 12177130,
      "relative_activity": 1.162343,
      "balance": 2.122427,
      "dry_up": 1.155051,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.180883,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.109096,
      "from_high_reference": -0.280917,
      "from_low_reference": 3.786306
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.4145,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.35484,
      "structural_low": 2.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.012281,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.01917,
        "regime_survival": 0.705882,
        "best_return": 0.613971,
        "worst_return": -0.378238,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.194817,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.46018,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.293198,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.26817,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.538462,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.688623,
        "worst_return": -0.617949,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.76,
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        "typical_volume": 10220777.95,
        "trend": 4.347833,
        "fair_value": 2.354006,
        "relative_strength": 40.067802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.373695,
        "energy": 14.927426,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.39,
        "volume": 12177130,
        "typical_volume": 10476362.05,
        "trend": 4.4145,
        "fair_value": 2.35484,
        "relative_strength": 20.932921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.620621,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}