{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dbe626cd-04fb-48e1-a903-9e09a2eef260", "symbol": "603377", "name": "Eastern Pioneer Driving School Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.102, "architecture_energy": 54.968, "architecture_maturity": 43.764, "architecture_confidence": 90.344, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.17, "rotation_up": 18.09, "upward_expansion": 8.69, "deceleration": 56.34, "rotation_down": 62.45, "downward_expansion": 82.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.872667, 2.948182, 3.184, 3.324817 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.94, "trend_reference": 3.512667, "distance_from_trend": -0.163029, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.314487, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.042291, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.203252, "excess_performance": -0.160048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.163029, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072196, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112985, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082113, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170423, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111642, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.203252, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.235632, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21212854, "relative_activity": 0.836733, "balance": 0.235632, "dry_up": 0.799367, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096546, "annualized_volatility": 0.279493, "from_high_reference": -0.366379, "from_low_reference": 0.15748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.512667, "fair_value_reference": 3.314487, "structural_low": 2.54, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.655172, "median_excess_return": -0.032496, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.454545, "worst_return": -0.461187, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.089397, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.092552, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.626667, "worst_return": -0.64094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.172019, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.138297, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.626667, "worst_return": -0.571839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 26841051.85, "trend": 3.603333, "fair_value": 3.409808, "relative_strength": -18.029373, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.388561, "energy": 90.155967, "activity_lines": [ 2.909333, 3.127091, 3.342524, 3.458731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.87, "volume": 26769966, "typical_volume": 26249113.55, "trend": 3.572333, "fair_value": 3.376795, "relative_strength": -16.639569, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.911109, "energy": 83.49362, "activity_lines": [ 2.87, 3.052727, 3.284381, 3.411419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.83, "volume": 11760260, "typical_volume": 25397449.7, "trend": 3.54, "fair_value": 3.345064, "relative_strength": -18.044928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.830316, "energy": 73.030782, "activity_lines": [ 2.848, 2.984, 3.226762, 3.363527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.94, "volume": 21212854, "typical_volume": 25352013.0, "trend": 3.512667, "fair_value": 3.314487, "relative_strength": -17.042291, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.102209, "energy": 54.968417, "activity_lines": [ 2.872667, 2.948182, 3.184, 3.324817 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }