{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc07a8fb-c42b-4371-bb5b-0a2c029372f5", "symbol": "000897", "name": "Tianjin Jinbin Development Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.268, "architecture_energy": 51.149, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.149, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.21, "rotation_up": 28.25, "upward_expansion": 13.56, "deceleration": 60.94, "rotation_down": 46.18, "downward_expansion": 75.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.718667, 1.720727, 1.821857, 1.908968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.73, "trend_reference": 2.025333, "distance_from_trend": -0.14582, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.209298, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216946, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.433886, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.220721, "excess_performance": -0.22812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.14582, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09543, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216946, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192493, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.234339, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002705, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.220721, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.352987, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 132816281, "relative_activity": 1.167873, "balance": 0.352987, "dry_up": 1.193116, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066252, "annualized_volatility": 0.224344, "from_high_reference": -0.342205, "from_low_reference": 0.074534 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.025333, "fair_value_reference": 2.209298, "structural_low": 1.61, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.014423, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": -0.003212, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.352941, "worst_return": -0.116162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.048035, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.024218, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.28421, "worst_return": -0.159292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.055535, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.054422, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.413793, "worst_return": -0.057377, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.704675, "energy": 85.750554, "activity_lines": [ 1.696667, 1.762182, 1.889524, 1.975376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.68, "volume": 142724481, "typical_volume": 120812721.2, "trend": 2.061667, "fair_value": 2.216254, "relative_strength": -24.289375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.919408, "energy": 66.419152, "activity_lines": [ 1.689333, 1.735091, 1.860667, 1.949312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.75, "volume": 129333941, "typical_volume": 120807702.15, "trend": 2.043667, "fair_value": 2.213795, "relative_strength": -19.215785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.936743, "energy": 59.337267, "activity_lines": [ 1.71, 1.727636, 1.841048, 1.929204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.73, "volume": 132816281, "typical_volume": 113724970.55, "trend": 2.025333, "fair_value": 2.209298, "relative_strength": -23.433886, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.268484, "energy": 51.149118, "activity_lines": [ 1.718667, 1.720727, 1.821857, 1.908968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }