{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc18743d-a87c-4883-bfe7-a88dd2ad6a67", "symbol": "BOX", "name": "Box Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "model_version": "ta-0.1.0", "as_of_week": "2026-07-31", "benchmark": "SPY", "history_weeks": 344, "chart_window_weeks": 156, "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "stage_color": "blue", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "stage_age_weeks": 5, "hard_stage_exit": false, "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_score": 73.467, "is_transition_watch": true, "confidence": 54.174, "composite_score": 76.711, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_color": "green", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.577, "architecture_energy": 81.67, "architecture_maturity": 22.016, "architecture_confidence": 73.784, "architecture_age_weeks": 2, "is_reacceleration_watch": false, "architecture": { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.577, "energy": 81.67, "maturity": 22.016, "confidence": 73.784, "confirmation": 70.578, "age_weeks": 2, "candidate": null, "candidate_weeks": 0, "hard_reversal": false, "reacceleration_watch": false, "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Activity Lines are positively ordered above the 30-week Trend Line, with rising slopes and price acceptance. Fan expansion measures the energy of the move; contraction inside this regime warns that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.93, "rotation_up": 82.42, "upward_expansion": 95.94, "deceleration": 39.09, "rotation_down": 9.18, "downward_expansion": 17.94 }, "activity_lines": { "5": 30.026667, "10": 28.661818, "20": 27.190714, "30": 26.378989 }, "activity_slopes": { "5": 1.459794, "10": 1.003894, "20": 0.723538, "30": 0.448956 }, "bullish_order": 1.0, "bearish_order": 0.0, "fan_width_atr": 1.503348, "fan_width_change_4": 0.970827, "fan_width_percentile": 0.798077, "fast_slow_gap_atr": 1.054823, "fast_slow_gap_change_4": 0.645597, "price_acceptance": 1.0, "current_fan_distance_atr": 0.627824, "accepted_above": 1.0, "accepted_below": 0.0, "crossing_density": 0.25 }, "interpretation": { "headline": "Price is building a base around a flattening 30-week trend.", "body": "The job of Stage 1 is repair: declining pressure must fade, relative strength must improve, and resistance must be absorbed before an advance is confirmed.", "phase": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "transition_context": "The evidence score for the next canonical transition is 73/100." }, "latest_close": 31.55, "sma_30": 25.751, "distance_from_sma_30": 0.225195, "sma_30_slope": -0.035567, "fair_value": 29.001218, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.087885, "fair_value_gap_change_13": 0.230198, "is_fair_value_repair": false, "mansfield_rs": 2.351816, "mansfield_rs_change_13": 26.967804, "range_position_52": 0.814195, "returns": { "13": 0.261495, "26": 0.244576, "52": -0.001266 }, "relative_returns": { "26": 0.159255, "52": -0.216101 }, "stage_scores": { "1": 38.06, "2": 44.0, "3": 41.69, "4": 27.53 }, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs 30-week average", "positive": true, "value": 0.225195, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "30-week slope", "positive": false, "value": -0.035567, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.087885, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "13-week Fair Value gap", "positive": true, "value": 0.230198, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Mansfield RS vs SPY", "positive": true, "value": 0.023518, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "13-week RS change", "positive": true, "value": 0.269678, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "26-week price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.244576, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "13-week volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.847937, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13255590, "ratio_20": 1.12669, "up_down_ratio_13": 1.847937, "dry_up_ratio": 1.170962, "accumulation_weeks": 3, "distribution_weeks": 2 }, "base": { "high_26": 31.83, "low_26": 21.34, "depth": 0.329563, "compression": 0.758012, "breakout_distance": -0.008797 }, "risk": { "atr_percent": 0.076906, "annualized_volatility": 0.386008, "drawdown_from_52_high": -0.068772, "advance_from_52_low": 0.478444 }, "levels": { "breakout_reference": 31.83, "trend_reference": 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minus one", "classification": "Trend Architecture uses the Activity Line position as a direction gate, then classifies ordering, four-week slopes, ATR-normalized fan width, fast/slow rotation and six-week price acceptance. Ordinary regime changes require two completed observations; a fully aligned reversal beyond the fan can change immediately.", "architecture_boundary": "The green/red/orange Trend gate is derived from the same Activity Lines and is therefore not counted as an independent vote. Relative strength and volume alter confirmation, while point-in-time Fair Value supplies context rather than determining the regime.", "admissibility": "Stage 2 cannot persist when price is more than 5% below the 30-week average or 8% below current Fair Value, the ten-week average slope is below -2%, Mansfield RS is below -8, or the 26-week return is below -15%. Stage 4 requires price no more than 5% above the average, RS no higher than +8, and at least one deterioration test: slope at or below +1.5%, 13-week return at or below -10%, or 26-week return at or below -12%. 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