{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc33d935-db5b-41b4-9441-e73cce89ed96", "symbol": "MPSLTD", "name": "MPS Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 95.031, "architecture_energy": 98.152, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.903, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.65, "rotation_up": 90.72, "upward_expansion": 100.0, "deceleration": 39.0, "rotation_down": 8.0, "downward_expansion": 22.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 2662.646647, 2363.830895, 2107.884756, 1968.052252 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 2931.199951, "trend_reference": 1831.643327, "distance_from_trend": 0.600312, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1956.45301, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.498221, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 50.435746, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.788189, "excess_performance": 0.831898, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.600312, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018247, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.498221, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.590289, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.504357, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.654675, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.788189, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.892627, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 365228, "relative_activity": 1.499048, "balance": 7.892627, "dry_up": 3.505178, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06303, "annualized_volatility": 0.538436, "from_high_reference": -0.004652, "from_low_reference": 1.193848 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1831.643327, "fair_value_reference": 1956.45301, "structural_low": 1336.099976, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.000659, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024057, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.467802, "worst_return": -0.200207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.004574, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.064953, "regime_survival": 0.363636, "best_return": 0.294109, "worst_return": -0.199696, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.17787, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.062748, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.734326, "worst_return": -0.178555, "sufficient": true }, { 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40.386864, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.496073, "energy": 97.431501, "activity_lines": [ 2449.286662, 2204.469085, 2006.572856, 1894.849244 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2931.199951, "volume": 365228, "typical_volume": 243639.9, "trend": 1831.643327, "fair_value": 1956.45301, "relative_strength": 50.435746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 95.03097, "energy": 98.152305, "activity_lines": [ 2662.646647, 2363.830895, 2107.884756, 1968.052252 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }