{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc3ac0e5-9733-4fe8-9a01-529a78c2bc04", "symbol": "41B", "name": "Huationg Global Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.902, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.159, "architecture_energy": 26.023, "architecture_maturity": 18.134, "architecture_confidence": 78.299, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.18, "rotation_up": 25.88, "upward_expansion": 16.17, "deceleration": 42.49, "rotation_down": 28.44, "downward_expansion": 61.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.726667, 0.718818, 0.747912, 0.767986 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.725, "trend_reference": 0.775065, "distance_from_trend": -0.064595, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.33153, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.186828, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.70805, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.022093, "excess_performance": -0.176928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.064595, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09183, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.186828, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.008535, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067081, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.581307, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.022093, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.336468, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 43400, "relative_activity": 0.03739, "balance": 0.336468, "dry_up": 0.349175, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065252, "annualized_volatility": 0.417462, "from_high_reference": -0.215583, "from_low_reference": 1.059214 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.775065, "fair_value_reference": 0.33153, "structural_low": 0.675, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.007047, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.009658, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.222223, "worst_return": -0.188681, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.006761, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.035874, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.74, "worst_return": -0.166895, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.028272, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.02983, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.556592, "worst_return": -0.042553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-20", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.381583, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.152004, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 1.021509, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.08, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.603774, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.653434, "energy": 58.516232, "activity_lines": [ 0.699667, 0.716909, 0.761784, 0.772992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.76, "volume": 894500, "typical_volume": 1412315.0, "trend": 0.762812, "fair_value": 0.323873, "relative_strength": 0.894598, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.204055, "energy": 29.329233, "activity_lines": [ 0.718667, 0.720273, 0.758913, 0.773298 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.725, "volume": 397500, "typical_volume": 1286445.0, "trend": 0.769515, "fair_value": 0.327699, "relative_strength": -4.987842, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.047453, "energy": 22.28848, "activity_lines": [ 0.724333, 0.718727, 0.753067, 0.770858 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.725, "volume": 43400, "typical_volume": 1160735.0, "trend": 0.775065, "fair_value": 0.33153, "relative_strength": -6.70805, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.158915, "energy": 26.022736, "activity_lines": [ 0.726667, 0.718818, 0.747912, 0.767986 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }