{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc59b249-490e-48e3-a30e-88c2cf5e9cb8", "symbol": "VESUVIUS", "name": "Vesuvius India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.048, "architecture_energy": 61.273, "architecture_maturity": 18.823, "architecture_confidence": 90.575, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.88, "rotation_up": 13.89, "upward_expansion": 13.64, "deceleration": 38.1, "rotation_down": 65.54, "downward_expansion": 89.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 451.913332, 457.506362, 465.837698, 471.455445 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 449.100006, "trend_reference": 477.909461, "distance_from_trend": -0.060282, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 457.343202, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.018024, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.627209, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.114326, "excess_performance": -0.070616, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060282, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010924, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.018024, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.166669, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.066272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.114326, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.825503, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 279271, "relative_activity": 0.710127, "balance": 0.825503, "dry_up": 0.834128, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044174, "annualized_volatility": 0.293436, "from_high_reference": -0.259073, "from_low_reference": 0.046734 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 477.909461, "fair_value_reference": 457.343202, 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478.27555 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 465.899994, "volume": 597274, "typical_volume": 439616.95, "trend": 480.28166, "fair_value": 455.175021, "relative_strength": -2.94331, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.129044, "energy": 23.015347, "activity_lines": [ 466.739998, 466.29727, 472.975992, 477.350936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 452.299988, "volume": 229045, "typical_volume": 408797.3, "trend": 479.333393, "fair_value": 455.923072, "relative_strength": -3.348565, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.294244, "energy": 35.640808, "activity_lines": [ 461.869995, 463.560904, 470.724279, 475.545667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 445.0, "volume": 206557, "typical_volume": 398671.2, "trend": 478.165058, "fair_value": 456.587856, "relative_strength": -7.077163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.568752, "energy": 53.957382, "activity_lines": [ 455.406663, 459.961814, 468.01583, 473.330609 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 449.100006, "volume": 279271, "typical_volume": 393268.85, "trend": 477.909461, "fair_value": 457.343202, "relative_strength": -6.627209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.04814, "energy": 61.273312, "activity_lines": [ 451.913332, 457.506362, 465.837698, 471.455445 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }