{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dc5a87b6-0a56-4344-911a-718d20f20738",
    "symbol": "FEDM",
    "name": "FLEXSHARES TRUST ESG & CLIMATE DEV MKTS EX-US CORE IDX ET",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.28,
    "architecture_energy": 91.383,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.908,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.951,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.2,
        "rotation_up": 82.18,
        "upward_expansion": 96.32,
        "deceleration": 41.98,
        "rotation_down": 10.5,
        "downward_expansion": 20.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        61.72701
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 66.2927,
    "trend_reference": 61.02322,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.086352,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.877419,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.302989,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.090509,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.078794,
    "excess_performance": -0.046831,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.086352,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030282,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.302989,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054248,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000905,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038094,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078794,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.824865,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5033,
      "relative_activity": 0.884278,
      "balance": 1.824865,
      "dry_up": 0.491729,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.020046,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.176558,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.270964
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 50.877419,
      "structural_low": 55.169981,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.012225,
        "positive_rate": 0.655172,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.655172,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00025,
        "regime_survival": 0.793103,
        "best_return": 0.055303,
        "worst_return": -0.07821,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
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        "worst_return": -0.104882,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.061089,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 9086.55,
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        "relative_strength": -1.255083,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8835.4,
        "trend": 60.611166,
        "fair_value": 50.575905,
        "relative_strength": -0.910258,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "energy": 64.283816,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.5026,
        "volume": 1243,
        "typical_volume": 7563.2,
        "trend": 60.803159,
        "fair_value": 50.721046,
        "relative_strength": 0.814655,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.336155,
        "energy": 75.655874,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.35908,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.2927,
        "volume": 5033,
        "typical_volume": 5691.65,
        "trend": 61.02322,
        "fair_value": 50.877419,
        "relative_strength": 0.090509,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.280408,
        "energy": 91.383451,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}