{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc65be26-c2cf-4860-9233-0b80684a7ecd", "symbol": "002248", "name": "Weihai Huadong Automation Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.907, "architecture_energy": 59.362, "architecture_maturity": 39.552, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.73, "rotation_up": 23.06, "upward_expansion": 10.6, "deceleration": 50.7, "rotation_down": 55.77, "downward_expansion": 81.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.607333, 8.787455, 9.836571, 10.627699 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.14, "trend_reference": 11.527333, "distance_from_trend": -0.207102, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.016026, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.01375, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.658862, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.226734, "excess_performance": -0.234134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.207102, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077272, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.01375, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.501464, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226589, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222243, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.226734, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.40826, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49605701, "relative_activity": 0.980909, "balance": 0.40826, "dry_up": 0.855117, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.113701, "annualized_volatility": 0.595194, "from_high_reference": -0.41335, "from_low_reference": 0.236806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.527333, "fair_value_reference": 9.016026, "structural_low": 7.39, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.030501, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.033733, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.201521, "worst_return": -0.184584, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.013331, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010561, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.248677, "worst_return": -0.26129, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.035204, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.077663, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.6171, "worst_return": -0.304294, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -30.345641, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.688524, "energy": 82.0834, "activity_lines": [ 9.178667, 9.802364, 10.927667, 11.485613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.04, "volume": 38996700, "typical_volume": 64152812.2, "trend": 11.809667, "fair_value": 9.021667, "relative_strength": -30.069955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.27164, "energy": 82.743199, "activity_lines": [ 8.76, 9.332909, 10.571524, 11.234237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.83, "volume": 39377301, "typical_volume": 59189479.35, "trend": 11.704667, "fair_value": 9.012564, "relative_strength": -31.80101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.356671, "energy": 78.521119, "activity_lines": [ 8.372, 8.925636, 10.227857, 10.977484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.75, "volume": 44997300, "typical_volume": 52587045.65, "trend": 11.607, "fair_value": 9.011603, "relative_strength": -22.324366, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.354354, "energy": 72.032096, "activity_lines": [ 8.426, 8.786727, 10.00081, 10.78686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.14, "volume": 49605701, "typical_volume": 50571155.55, "trend": 11.527333, "fair_value": 9.016026, "relative_strength": -22.658862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.90686, "energy": 59.36183, "activity_lines": [ 8.607333, 8.787455, 9.836571, 10.627699 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }