{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dc70d6d8-3a3b-40e1-a271-b290779041de",
    "symbol": "SRL",
    "name": "Sunrise Energy Metals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 90.722,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 39.29,
    "architecture_energy": 24.129,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.115,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.16,
        "rotation_up": 27.2,
        "upward_expansion": 58.19,
        "deceleration": 88.29,
        "rotation_down": 29.84,
        "downward_expansion": 19.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        15.073333,
        15.605818,
        14.985905,
        13.786344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 15.93,
    "trend_reference": 12.271333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.298147,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.411234,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 3.669864,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 64.942969,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.95941,
    "excess_performance": 0.895704,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.298147,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.330418,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.669864,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.057171,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.64943,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.661752,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.95941,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.500652,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2070078,
      "relative_activity": 0.887757,
      "balance": 1.500652,
      "dry_up": 1.010396,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137742,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.993569,
      "from_high_reference": -0.117451,
      "from_low_reference": 13.004396
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.271333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.411234,
      "structural_low": 5.64,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.105882,
        "positive_rate": 0.777778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.777778,
        "median_excess_return": 0.11993,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.224719,
        "worst_return": -0.279661,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.378728,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.357038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.921348,
        "worst_return": -0.288136,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.558049,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.53094,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 13.876404,
        "worst_return": -0.542373,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.305085,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.387038,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 34.730337,
        "worst_return": -0.582143,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.097561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095238,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.246575,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.055556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.162791,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.18,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.640449,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 3.20202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.802817,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.275188,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": true
      }
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 3364970.7,
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        "fair_value": 3.145529,
        "relative_strength": 72.548239,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.518612,
        "energy": 51.162115,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.8,
        "volume": 2516004,
        "typical_volume": 2715474.15,
        "trend": 11.792333,
        "fair_value": 3.232452,
        "relative_strength": 71.383259,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.000539,
        "energy": 34.977152,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.543333,
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          14.648571,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.28,
        "volume": 1972442,
        "typical_volume": 2611317.05,
        "trend": 12.006667,
        "fair_value": 3.316554,
        "relative_strength": 57.172883,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.760963,
        "energy": 24.332888,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.914667,
          15.553091,
          14.748714,
          13.533226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.93,
        "volume": 2070078,
        "typical_volume": 2331807.5,
        "trend": 12.271333,
        "fair_value": 3.411234,
        "relative_strength": 64.942969,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.289567,
        "energy": 24.129208,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.073333,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}