{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc77d419-cc24-46e2-bf21-edc0a85460f1", "symbol": "002250", "name": "Lianhe Chemical Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 86.677, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 4.956, "architecture_energy": 14.455, "architecture_maturity": 27.25, "architecture_confidence": 72.945, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 69.71, "rotation_up": 39.21, "upward_expansion": 31.94, "deceleration": 46.71, "rotation_down": 15.13, "downward_expansion": 40.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.57, 15.069856, 15.062237, 15.415909 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 16.57, "trend_reference": 15.970126, "distance_from_trend": 0.037562, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.316208, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.778621, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 13.850959, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.055302, "excess_performance": -0.062702, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.037562, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041847, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.778621, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103833, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.13851, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065093, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.055302, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.671734, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 97871109, "relative_activity": 1.262395, "balance": 0.671734, "dry_up": 1.543184, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094305, "annualized_volatility": 0.438418, "from_high_reference": -0.144112, "from_low_reference": 0.692543 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.970126, "fair_value_reference": 9.316208, "structural_low": 12.609222, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.013561, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.020038, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.013561, "worst_return": -0.013561, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.144838, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.231581, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.144838, "worst_return": 0.144838, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.124814, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.004671, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.124814, "worst_return": -0.124814, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": -5.199437, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.353473, "energy": 39.774576, "activity_lines": [ 14.273887, 14.30904, 15.007452, 15.464501 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.61, "volume": 146680771, "typical_volume": 79840692.85, "trend": 15.703459, "fair_value": 9.212701, "relative_strength": 12.974075, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.994789, "energy": 19.786607, "activity_lines": [ 14.765729, 14.487699, 15.007815, 15.46574 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.94, "volume": 142438600, "typical_volume": 78652102.7, "trend": 15.795126, "fair_value": 9.24453, "relative_strength": 7.330775, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.572583, "energy": 22.077554, "activity_lines": [ 14.936716, 14.567993, 14.95975, 15.416484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.08, "volume": 91570159, "typical_volume": 78081914.9, "trend": 15.863793, "fair_value": 9.275243, "relative_strength": 9.515236, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.379215, "energy": 18.308284, "activity_lines": [ 15.073253, 14.682652, 14.936684, 15.370347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.57, "volume": 97871109, "typical_volume": 77528134.9, "trend": 15.970126, "fair_value": 9.316208, "relative_strength": 13.850959, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 4.955705, "energy": 14.455204, "activity_lines": [ 15.57, 15.069856, 15.062237, 15.415909 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }