{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc791de0-0eb1-47f0-bc28-f4cbf869d852", "symbol": "GOL3S", "name": "SG ETC DAILY SHORT -3X GOLD FUTURE", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 51.881, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 32.516, "architecture_energy": 26.271, "architecture_maturity": 66.201, "architecture_confidence": 72.925, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.83, "rotation_up": 27.18, "upward_expansion": 65.81, "deceleration": 88.32, "rotation_down": 30.35, "downward_expansion": 20.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.0164, 2.089618, 1.949443, 1.825108 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.76, "trend_reference": 1.692287, "distance_from_trend": 0.040013, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.931578, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.852492, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.408815, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.257143, "excess_performance": 0.086251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.040013, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.852492, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047044, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.384088, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247933, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.257143, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.362622, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3850, "relative_activity": 0.718974, "balance": 1.362622, "dry_up": 0.249774, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.107255, "annualized_volatility": 0.751406, "from_high_reference": -0.684022, "from_low_reference": 0.692308 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.692287, "fair_value_reference": 11.931578, "structural_low": 1.04, 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"stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.239992, "energy": 50.407199, "activity_lines": [ 1.809733, 1.688618, 1.584505, 1.620101 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 2.11, "volume": 4875, "typical_volume": 19781.65, "trend": 1.757853, "fair_value": 13.101251, "relative_strength": -39.056715, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.417715, "energy": 73.278167, "activity_lines": [ 1.9304, 1.781818, 1.641729, 1.641057 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 2.308, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 17214.25, "trend": 1.74652, "fair_value": 12.925693, "relative_strength": -29.449142, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 64.272515, "energy": 86.526015, "activity_lines": [ 2.085067, 1.898309, 1.71481, 1.67655 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 2.138, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 16798.0, "trend": 1.730453, "fair_value": 12.746001, "relative_strength": -34.734203, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.770395, "energy": 78.137068, "activity_lines": [ 2.140533, 1.965927, 1.767376, 1.701807 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.292, "volume": 305, "typical_volume": 16788.25, "trend": 1.724853, "fair_value": 12.587264, "relative_strength": -27.763007, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.507407, "energy": 92.003593, "activity_lines": [ 2.210267, 2.049018, 1.831133, 1.738036 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.311, "volume": 800, "typical_volume": 16248.25, "trend": 1.722887, "fair_value": 12.429994, "relative_strength": -23.937726, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.44869, "energy": 90.106731, "activity_lines": [ 2.257533, 2.123709, 1.892167, 1.775852 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.076, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 15395.5, "trend": 1.71842, "fair_value": 12.271219, "relative_strength": -29.600524, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.960616, "energy": 63.428711, "activity_lines": [ 2.2056, 2.139364, 1.925224, 1.798633 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.076, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 14783.35, "trend": 1.70722, "fair_value": 12.112443, "relative_strength": -27.691213, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.337355, "energy": 58.065469, "activity_lines": [ 2.155933, 2.146909, 1.954205, 1.821703 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.76, "volume": 3850, "typical_volume": 5354.85, "trend": 1.692287, "fair_value": 11.931578, "relative_strength": -38.408815, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.515848, "energy": 26.270582, "activity_lines": [ 2.0164, 2.089618, 1.949443, 1.825108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }