{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dc792d55-10e6-4d4d-9db1-6600c6aa72cf",
    "symbol": "ARRD",
    "name": "ArcelorMittal S.A.",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 79.016,
    "architecture_energy": 70.352,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.175,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.857,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.22,
        "rotation_up": 72.2,
        "upward_expansion": 91.87,
        "deceleration": 41.79,
        "rotation_down": 16.67,
        "downward_expansion": 13.87
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        60.608147,
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        57.296589,
        55.208572
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 63.279999,
    "trend_reference": 52.637126,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.202193,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 30.423883,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.079945,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 31.931251,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.242349,
    "excess_performance": 0.17771,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.202193,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158152,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.079945,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.183317,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.319313,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087561,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.242349,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 7.747347,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 70604,
      "relative_activity": 0.544737,
      "balance": 7.747347,
      "dry_up": 0.631855,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.063767,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.431595,
      "from_high_reference": -0.028384,
      "from_low_reference": 1.336812
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 52.637126,
      "fair_value_reference": 30.423883,
      "structural_low": 39.786218,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.038901,
        "positive_rate": 0.608696,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.608696,
        "median_excess_return": 0.036027,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.210439,
        "worst_return": -0.221884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.7,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.126809,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.120276,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.060422,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
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        "worst_return": -0.235819,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.143783,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 29.490067,
        "relative_strength": 33.343693,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 50277,
        "typical_volume": 165704.5,
        "trend": 50.470142,
        "fair_value": 29.709797,
        "relative_strength": 32.898365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 49.067449,
        "energy": 32.231723,
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          57.064266,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 58.823265,
        "volume": 91018,
        "typical_volume": 148125.0,
        "trend": 51.164319,
        "fair_value": 29.930766,
        "relative_strength": 32.042065,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 63.310307,
        "energy": 43.762516,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.698906,
        "volume": 115683,
        "typical_volume": 136662.1,
        "trend": 51.865992,
        "fair_value": 30.167368,
        "relative_strength": 31.664297,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.358318,
        "energy": 53.270985,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.077341,
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          56.399919,
          54.472185
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.279999,
        "volume": 70604,
        "typical_volume": 129611.25,
        "trend": 52.637126,
        "fair_value": 30.423883,
        "relative_strength": 31.931251,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.016166,
        "energy": 70.352125,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.608147,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}