{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dc7c47ac-b16a-4b45-bd62-0016863f5a81",
    "symbol": "3007",
    "name": "Zahrat Al Waha For Trading Company",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.923,
    "architecture_energy": 56.563,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.413,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.342,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 69.66,
        "upward_expansion": 83.59,
        "deceleration": 52.99,
        "rotation_down": 15.26,
        "downward_expansion": 7.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.829333,
        2.780364,
        2.685333,
        2.619226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 2.9,
    "trend_reference": 2.566,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.130164,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 3.098692,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064121,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 17.242632,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.20332,
    "excess_performance": 0.235149,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.130164,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053222,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064121,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13249,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172426,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.144738,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20332,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.222805,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 8396725,
      "relative_activity": 1.053578,
      "balance": 1.222805,
      "dry_up": 1.723484,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.053581,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.227548,
      "from_high_reference": -0.073482,
      "from_low_reference": 0.38756
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.566,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.098692,
      "structural_low": 2.18,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.023848,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001365,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.211212,
        "worst_return": -0.082885,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.1293,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.141734,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.134289,
        "worst_return": -0.23475,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.035542,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075577,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.301293,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.348639,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.311192,
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        "best_return": 0.425343,
        "worst_return": -0.395018,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022284,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 6454515.1,
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        "fair_value": 3.108619,
        "relative_strength": 16.56806,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 76.725903,
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        "activity_lines": [
          2.802,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.75,
        "volume": 25857586,
        "typical_volume": 7590769.5,
        "trend": 2.544667,
        "fair_value": 3.103389,
        "relative_strength": 14.148,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.244513,
        "energy": 62.202864,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.794667,
          2.741455,
          2.654619,
          2.596301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.9,
        "volume": 8396725,
        "typical_volume": 7969719.6,
        "trend": 2.566,
        "fair_value": 3.098692,
        "relative_strength": 17.242632,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.923055,
        "energy": 56.563177,
        "activity_lines": [
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          2.619226
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}