{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc7c981f-d166-4607-8d7c-629701bca15a", "symbol": "MKOR", "name": "MATTHEWS ASIAN FUNDS KOREA ACTIVE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.977, "architecture_energy": 19.178, "architecture_maturity": 56.914, "architecture_confidence": 72.577, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.76, "rotation_up": 15.48, "upward_expansion": 41.48, "deceleration": 87.16, "rotation_down": 43.69, "downward_expansion": 35.48 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.31772, 58.969469, 59.981323, 57.524152 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 57.5009, "trend_reference": 53.734817, "distance_from_trend": 0.070086, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.087537, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.91112, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.410354, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.318157, "excess_performance": 0.192532, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.070086, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206022, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.91112, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.483678, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.174104, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.481249, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.318157, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.582726, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32472, "relative_activity": 0.306327, "balance": 0.582726, "dry_up": 0.735154, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11667, "annualized_volatility": 0.53822, "from_high_reference": -0.211885, "from_low_reference": 1.208181 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.734817, "fair_value_reference": 30.087537, "structural_low": 41.0, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.013045, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002972, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.01351, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.841834, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": 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59.749138, 59.982233, 57.238867 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.5009, "volume": 32472, "typical_volume": 106004.25, "trend": 53.734817, "fair_value": 30.087537, "relative_strength": 17.410354, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.976689, "energy": 19.177608, "activity_lines": [ 56.31772, 58.969469, 59.981323, 57.524152 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }