{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dc93625d-8e00-4d96-9d1d-0fb3dfdf2f4c", "symbol": "JYNT", "name": "The Joint Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 59.644, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.302, "architecture_energy": 38.696, "architecture_maturity": 39.065, "architecture_confidence": 92.976, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.75, "rotation_up": 17.37, "upward_expansion": 11.18, "deceleration": 36.68, "rotation_down": 55.06, "downward_expansion": 77.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.444667, 8.644, 8.735524, 8.758645 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.33, "trend_reference": 8.893, "distance_from_trend": -0.063308, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.457212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.203421, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.219247, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.143004, "excess_performance": -0.330458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.063308, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006679, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.203421, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005245, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192192, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060301, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143004, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.626955, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 417813, "relative_activity": 0.989682, "balance": 0.626955, "dry_up": 0.726842, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102869, "annualized_volatility": 0.402383, "from_high_reference": -0.259884, "from_low_reference": 0.110667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.893, "fair_value_reference": 10.457212, "structural_low": 7.835, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.030749, "positive_rate": 0.208333, "directional_follow_through": 0.208333, "median_excess_return": -0.048936, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.164034, "worst_return": -0.169474, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.097978, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.133697, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.359001, "worst_return": -0.215263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.158728, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.195685, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.463059, "worst_return": -0.36059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116162, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.078578, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.202202, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.124456, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.072289, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-01-23", 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4.917434, "activity_lines": [ 8.976667, 8.921818, 8.847333, 8.881204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.91, "volume": 268113, "typical_volume": 459020.35, "trend": 8.955667, "fair_value": 10.532212, "relative_strength": -12.846637, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.638072, "energy": 10.48007, "activity_lines": [ 8.92, 8.933455, 8.860714, 8.878065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.35, "volume": 349467, "typical_volume": 458261.7, "trend": 8.942, "fair_value": 10.500417, "relative_strength": -16.129604, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.196285, "energy": 17.129554, "activity_lines": [ 8.721333, 8.839273, 8.820238, 8.838989 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.29, "volume": 192007, "typical_volume": 443663.5, "trend": 8.923333, "fair_value": 10.468301, "relative_strength": -16.329577, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.100063, "energy": 31.402665, "activity_lines": [ 8.568667, 8.732, 8.775714, 8.796925 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.33, "volume": 417813, "typical_volume": 422168.95, "trend": 8.893, "fair_value": 10.457212, "relative_strength": -19.219247, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.301562, "energy": 38.695659, "activity_lines": [ 8.444667, 8.644, 8.735524, 8.758645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }