{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dca09812-5406-49eb-98a1-0b08b538b3ac",
    "symbol": "FGEU",
    "name": "Fidelity Global Quality Income UCITS ETF EUR Hedged Inc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.46,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 92.121,
    "architecture_energy": 81.687,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.167,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.029,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.44,
        "rotation_up": 71.06,
        "upward_expansion": 88.88,
        "deceleration": 51.34,
        "rotation_down": 19.6,
        "downward_expansion": 15.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        9.8968,
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        9.686813,
        9.540571
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 10.132,
    "trend_reference": 9.377614,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.080445,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.85965,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.289116,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.843406,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.103354,
    "excess_performance": -0.067538,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080445,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037272,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.289116,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043459,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038434,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004729,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103354,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 9.664219,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10495,
      "relative_activity": 2.105422,
      "balance": 9.664219,
      "dry_up": 1.030343,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014142,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.112177,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000395,
      "from_low_reference": 0.237863
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 9.377614,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.85965,
      "structural_low": 8.562276,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.013407,
        "positive_rate": 0.758621,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.758621,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000311,
        "regime_survival": 0.827586,
        "best_return": 0.077729,
        "worst_return": -0.06282,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.022107,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.041562,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.068599,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "worst_return": 0.009818,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "worst_return": 0.064804,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "relative_strength": -6.37197,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 7873.75,
        "trend": 9.278717,
        "fair_value": 7.793891,
        "relative_strength": -3.853683,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.506848,
        "energy": 83.098843,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 9.74,
        "volume": 233,
        "typical_volume": 4856.4,
        "trend": 9.308106,
        "fair_value": 7.814325,
        "relative_strength": -4.314382,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.73146,
        "energy": 69.315558,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.811,
        "volume": 5101,
        "typical_volume": 4672.7,
        "trend": 9.339861,
        "fair_value": 7.835842,
        "relative_strength": -4.192719,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.033298,
        "energy": 62.846855,
        "activity_lines": [
          9.776867,
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          9.621762,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10.132,
        "volume": 10495,
        "typical_volume": 4984.75,
        "trend": 9.377614,
        "fair_value": 7.85965,
        "relative_strength": -3.843406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.120757,
        "energy": 81.686961,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}