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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.762, "architecture_energy": 58.107, "architecture_maturity": 70.232, "architecture_confidence": 78.643, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.61, "rotation_up": 54.32, "upward_expansion": 82.45, "deceleration": 68.6, "rotation_down": 27.62, "downward_expansion": 9.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 2874.897347, 2866.042689, 2829.105046, 2773.301792 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2915.0, "trend_reference": 2711.331958, "distance_from_trend": 0.075117, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2358.198832, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.236113, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.725494, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.123617, "excess_performance": 0.178284, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075117, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019355, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.236113, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019982, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.057255, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11046, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.123617, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.150279, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 408, "relative_activity": 0.03561, "balance": 5.150279, "dry_up": 0.211955, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.020862, "annualized_volatility": 0.197289, "from_high_reference": -0.014667, "from_low_reference": 0.222222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2711.331958, "fair_value_reference": 2358.198832, "structural_low": 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"close": 2869.550049, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 11275.4, "trend": 2701.176741, "fair_value": 2343.060988, "relative_strength": 4.729619, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.718771, "energy": 65.088172, "activity_lines": [ 2883.054704, 2863.268586, 2806.935175, 2753.381942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2800.0, "volume": 5187, "typical_volume": 11438.1, "trend": 2705.065584, "fair_value": 2350.211204, "relative_strength": 1.529532, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.546723, "energy": 55.297349, "activity_lines": [ 2859.009359, 2854.047297, 2812.938628, 2759.757636 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2915.0, "volume": 408, "typical_volume": 11457.6, "trend": 2711.331958, "fair_value": 2358.198832, "relative_strength": 5.725494, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.762465, "energy": 58.107084, "activity_lines": [ 2874.897347, 2866.042689, 2829.105046, 2773.301792 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }