{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dca65c19-2eb0-4484-b6f9-1d0684726251",
    "symbol": "USNA",
    "name": "USANA Health Sciences Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 83.82,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -21.385,
    "architecture_energy": 12.258,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.844,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.521,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.94,
        "rotation_up": 28.44,
        "upward_expansion": 36.39,
        "deceleration": 60.88,
        "rotation_down": 41.77,
        "downward_expansion": 20.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.691333,
        20.249273,
        19.799143,
        19.555118
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 15.47,
    "trend_reference": 19.672,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.213603,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 34.71359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.554353,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -35.959276,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.27507,
    "excess_performance": -0.400695,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.213603,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007787,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.554353,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048887,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.359593,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.051703,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.27507,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.62155,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1722615,
      "relative_activity": 2.901,
      "balance": 0.62155,
      "dry_up": 1.285224,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.156901,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.646689,
      "from_high_reference": -0.521349,
      "from_low_reference": 0.078049
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.672,
      "fair_value_reference": 34.71359,
      "structural_low": 14.35,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.067777,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067701,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.055775,
        "worst_return": -0.068901,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.020237,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086212,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.070157,
        "worst_return": -0.188258,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.10612,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.152548,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.058115,
        "worst_return": -0.214119,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.259791,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.225493,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.259791,
        "worst_return": -0.259791,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-07-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.073715,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.149636,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.105334,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.163071,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.115385,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125189,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058579,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.026654,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.008983,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.170335,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.17741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.139301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005914,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 63.35,
        "volume": 318635,
        "typical_volume": 317361.1,
        "trend": 62.912,
        "fair_value": 78.503077,
        "relative_strength": -2.577618,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
      {
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 614494.6,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 597448.9,
        "trend": 19.483333,
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        "relative_strength": -30.367226,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 599858.55,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 9.510731,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.761762,
        "energy": 17.317885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 21.51,
        "volume": 420545,
        "typical_volume": 609552.45,
        "trend": 19.564667,
        "fair_value": 36.116731,
        "relative_strength": -13.357242,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 36.795056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 21.98,
        "volume": 462181,
        "typical_volume": 596172.1,
        "trend": 19.616333,
        "fair_value": 35.866987,
        "relative_strength": -11.411174,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 32.844293,
        "energy": 53.279646,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.047333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 21.82,
        "volume": 403264,
        "typical_volume": 581003.95,
        "trend": 19.679667,
        "fair_value": 35.602564,
        "relative_strength": -9.643402,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 40.213996,
        "energy": 61.126789,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.455333,
          20.514727,
          19.669429,
          19.576194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 21.32,
        "volume": 460528,
        "typical_volume": 559005.25,
        "trend": 19.729,
        "fair_value": 35.321731,
        "relative_strength": -10.029305,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.403283,
        "energy": 56.277077,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.569333,
          20.793818,
          19.891952,
          19.682022
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.11,
        "volume": 466260,
        "typical_volume": 545597.6,
        "trend": 19.818,
        "fair_value": 35.038526,
        "relative_strength": -6.73767,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.011202,
        "energy": 60.603196,
        "activity_lines": [
          21.784,
          21.155818,
          20.173095,
          19.835634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.47,
        "volume": 1722615,
        "typical_volume": 593800.5,
        "trend": 19.672,
        "fair_value": 34.71359,
        "relative_strength": -35.959276,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.38488,
        "energy": 12.258303,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.691333,
          20.249273,
          19.799143,
          19.555118
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}