{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dca87bbf-d4b1-4562-b1c5-a82492650dd1", "symbol": "600526", "name": "Zhejiang Feida Environmental Science & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.955, "architecture_energy": 48.558, "architecture_maturity": 90.366, "architecture_confidence": 67.026, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.65, "rotation_up": 27.31, "upward_expansion": 20.51, "deceleration": 66.96, "rotation_down": 44.14, "downward_expansion": 70.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.332667, 4.318727, 4.545706, 4.791481 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.38, "trend_reference": 5.091168, "distance_from_trend": -0.139687, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.721115, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.072253, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.866722, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.230228, "excess_performance": -0.187025, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.139687, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066326, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.072253, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.191493, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148667, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074819, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.230228, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.262358, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37501599, "relative_activity": 0.936964, "balance": 0.262358, "dry_up": 1.00065, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058791, "annualized_volatility": 0.292615, "from_high_reference": -0.291262, "from_low_reference": 0.068293 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.091168, "fair_value_reference": 4.721115, "structural_low": 4.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.007759, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.423077, "median_excess_return": 0.012453, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.182741, "worst_return": -0.115201, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.024668, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.021339, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.392954, "worst_return": -0.113503, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032787, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.028585, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.285, "worst_return": -0.122093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 45079400, "typical_volume": 41292729.35, "trend": 5.154501, "fair_value": 4.729264, "relative_strength": -16.872504, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.147492, "energy": 67.318404, "activity_lines": [ 4.245333, 4.322604, 4.637135, 4.887503 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.41, "volume": 36882021, "typical_volume": 40491027.4, "trend": 5.123834, "fair_value": 4.725443, "relative_strength": -12.20444, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.598245, "energy": 59.573994, "activity_lines": [ 4.303333, 4.31852, 4.589445, 4.83947 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.38, "volume": 37501599, "typical_volume": 40024577.35, "trend": 5.091168, "fair_value": 4.721115, "relative_strength": -14.866722, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.955176, "energy": 48.558173, "activity_lines": [ 4.332667, 4.318727, 4.545706, 4.791481 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }