{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcadbc9b-0070-48f1-acd9-c6da57fe0524", "symbol": "MIA", "name": "Mia Dynamics Motors Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.987, "architecture_energy": 66.321, "architecture_maturity": 48.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.499, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.04, "rotation_up": 15.24, "upward_expansion": 11.37, "deceleration": 43.59, "rotation_down": 71.87, "downward_expansion": 87.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.453267, 0.479945, 0.518, 0.556503 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.404, "trend_reference": 0.6233, "distance_from_trend": -0.351837, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.518147, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.220299, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.627196, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.447332, "excess_performance": -0.476233, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.351837, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14075, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.220299, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.348888, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.426272, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.064096, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.447332, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.477931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4443310, "relative_activity": 2.646995, "balance": 0.477931, "dry_up": 1.517677, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.179551, "annualized_volatility": 0.53172, "from_high_reference": -0.628676, "from_low_reference": 0.049351 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.6233, "fair_value_reference": 0.518147, "structural_low": 0.385, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.047886, "positive_rate": 0.35, "directional_follow_through": 0.65, "median_excess_return": -0.065357, "regime_survival": 0.9, "best_return": 0.589577, "worst_return": -0.304836, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.032746, "positive_rate": 0.307692, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.068236, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.853282, "worst_return": -0.424638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.132682, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.275096, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 3.015444, "worst_return": -0.491391, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 0.495, "volume": 1639721, "typical_volume": 1595578.45, "trend": 0.665567, "fair_value": 0.518596, "relative_strength": -30.967429, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.584707, "energy": 57.591563, "activity_lines": [ 0.5074, 0.5284, 0.555248, 0.596378 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.484, "volume": 842671, "typical_volume": 1532734.75, "trend": 0.6531, "fair_value": 0.51866, "relative_strength": -33.766745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.992352, "energy": 53.244689, "activity_lines": [ 0.499133, 0.517855, 0.545238, 0.584665 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.451, "volume": 3264733, "typical_volume": 1604476.5, "trend": 0.6384, "fair_value": 0.518474, "relative_strength": -36.237029, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.800288, "energy": 52.045115, "activity_lines": [ 0.4816, 0.502309, 0.533267, 0.571626 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.404, "volume": 4443310, "typical_volume": 1678624.05, "trend": 0.6233, "fair_value": 0.518147, "relative_strength": -42.627196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.986733, "energy": 66.3212, "activity_lines": [ 0.453267, 0.479945, 0.518, 0.556503 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }