{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcb3f61a-db13-4857-92f7-c5e19c5dd7d8", "symbol": "CNK", "name": "Cinemark Holdings Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.263, "architecture_energy": 78.219, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 82.62, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.63, "rotation_up": 72.54, "upward_expansion": 87.21, "deceleration": 49.29, "rotation_down": 11.12, "downward_expansion": 16.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.704667, 33.492545, 31.697067, 30.528023 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 37.24, "trend_reference": 28.853945, "distance_from_trend": 0.290638, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.514309, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.519113, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 20.454877, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.454416, "excess_performance": 0.328791, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.290638, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.099883, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.519113, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.359136, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.204549, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.328786, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.454416, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.067159, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14716884, "relative_activity": 1.326872, "balance": 2.067159, "dry_up": 1.30032, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070522, "annualized_volatility": 0.387869, "from_high_reference": -0.044638, "from_low_reference": 0.735198 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.853945, "fair_value_reference": 24.514309, "structural_low": 23.721936, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.01297, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": -0.017165, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.306305, "worst_return": -0.146471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.027613, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.011272, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.374074, "worst_return": -0.205882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.169521, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.126137, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.668353, "worst_return": -0.055794, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 10391790.45, "trend": 27.916448, "fair_value": 24.261521, "relative_strength": 11.616407, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.2387, "energy": 29.076921, "activity_lines": [ 31.256667, 31.537872, 30.320987, 29.39533 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 36.59, "volume": 17607774, "typical_volume": 10753178.55, "trend": 28.35681, "fair_value": 24.385769, "relative_strength": 23.058079, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.31771, "energy": 49.956364, "activity_lines": [ 32.977333, 32.549273, 31.004015, 29.954914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.24, "volume": 14716884, "typical_volume": 11091415.0, "trend": 28.853945, "fair_value": 24.514309, "relative_strength": 20.454877, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.262855, "energy": 78.218571, "activity_lines": [ 34.704667, 33.492545, 31.697067, 30.528023 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }