{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcd3ac78-a0c9-4d59-a5f3-2a6f701b9bd5", "symbol": "MCAD", "name": "Premium Cash Management Fund", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 89.296, "architecture_energy": 94.893, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 68.446, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.6, "rotation_up": 80.45, "upward_expansion": 97.24, "deceleration": 42.01, "rotation_down": 13.91, "downward_expansion": 21.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.012163, 99.964062, 99.896181, 99.816075 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 100.07, "trend_reference": 99.683087, "distance_from_trend": 0.003881, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 96.841962, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.033333, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -10.556226, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.008519, "excess_performance": -0.111902, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003881, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003322, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.033333, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000343, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.105562, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001354, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008519, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 53.2, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 400, "relative_activity": 0.074697, "balance": 53.2, "dry_up": 0.322129, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.000559, "annualized_volatility": 0.004128, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.019713 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 99.683087, "fair_value_reference": 96.841962, "structural_low": 99.333878, 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"volume": 1900, "typical_volume": 5415.0, "trend": 99.622722, "fair_value": 96.794509, "relative_strength": -8.969465, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.141835, "energy": 73.250561, "activity_lines": [ 99.929801, 99.913906, 99.848682, 99.763514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.019997, "volume": 3900, "typical_volume": 5460.0, "trend": 99.652567, "fair_value": 96.818226, "relative_strength": -8.120102, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.317675, "energy": 92.277763, "activity_lines": [ 99.969403, 99.936399, 99.87114, 99.789144 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.07, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 5355.0, "trend": 99.683087, "fair_value": 96.841962, "relative_strength": -10.556226, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.296499, "energy": 94.893222, "activity_lines": [ 100.012163, 99.964062, 99.896181, 99.816075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }