{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcd4b2e8-d557-421e-b480-15a11bd0ba38", "symbol": "R1OL34", "name": "Rollins, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -96.18, "architecture_energy": 78.634, "architecture_maturity": 52.0, "architecture_confidence": 62.389, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.02, "rotation_up": 8.51, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 61.0, "rotation_down": 90.55, "downward_expansion": 90.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 208.395846, 221.084762, 241.56039, 256.697444 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 195.320007, "trend_reference": 277.247053, "distance_from_trend": -0.295502, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 262.035962, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.254606, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.150389, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.405223, "excess_performance": -0.348174, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.295502, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094712, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.254606, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.381261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.361504, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154375, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.405223, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.487805, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40, "relative_activity": 6.557377, "balance": 0.487805, "dry_up": 3.52459, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041444, "annualized_volatility": 0.299938, "from_high_reference": -0.406662, "from_low_reference": 0.022226 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 277.247053, "fair_value_reference": 262.035962, "structural_low": 191.073277, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00247, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.056036, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.078469, "worst_return": -0.065603, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.060412, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.121706, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.078469, "worst_return": -0.152016, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.029502, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.034716, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.241818, "worst_return": -0.055847, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"fair_value": 262.201311, "relative_strength": -27.187801, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.25026, "energy": 72.728055, "activity_lines": [ 232.662112, 238.363082, 255.360833, 268.376785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 191.073277, "volume": 46, "typical_volume": 4.15, "trend": 281.509523, "fair_value": 262.106428, "relative_strength": -40.24138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -99.791005, "energy": 79.878688, "activity_lines": [ 218.1743, 228.576522, 248.011899, 262.258058 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 195.320007, "volume": 40, "typical_volume": 6.1, "trend": 277.247053, "fair_value": 262.035962, "relative_strength": -36.150389, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -96.179701, "energy": 78.634014, "activity_lines": [ 208.395846, 221.084762, 241.56039, 256.697444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }