{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcd935bd-c76d-4e0e-bda6-d031277512d0", "symbol": "1219", "name": "Fwusow Industry Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -77.045, "architecture_energy": 90.134, "architecture_maturity": 21.957, "architecture_confidence": 83.992, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 8.51, "upward_expansion": 21.91, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 84.65, "downward_expansion": 99.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.22, 11.632727, 12.026841, 12.313341 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 11.05, "trend_reference": 12.620897, "distance_from_trend": -0.124468, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.775522, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.252141, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.353797, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.151882, "excess_performance": -0.593254, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124468, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029042, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.252141, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05946, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.393538, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007268, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.151882, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.394495, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2065928, "relative_activity": 0.703021, "balance": 0.394495, "dry_up": 1.213597, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.044874, "annualized_volatility": 0.164709, "from_high_reference": -0.243947, "from_low_reference": 0.057416 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.620897, "fair_value_reference": 14.775522, "structural_low": 10.45, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.002574, "positive_rate": 0.411765, "directional_follow_through": 0.558824, "median_excess_return": -0.024039, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.145455, "worst_return": -0.086262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.002886, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.073625, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.132626, "worst_return": -0.096386, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.005, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.185048, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.097686, "worst_return": -0.202899, "sufficient": true }, 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"trend": 12.85, "fair_value": 14.942711, "relative_strength": -32.780007, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.892973, "energy": 50.410595, "activity_lines": [ 12.276667, 12.329825, 12.557537, 12.703817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.85, "volume": 4375398, "typical_volume": 2744165.75, "trend": 12.809102, "fair_value": 14.907357, "relative_strength": -34.926921, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.869144, "energy": 68.914048, "activity_lines": [ 12.11, 12.24451, 12.470128, 12.639301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.4, "volume": 3359335, "typical_volume": 2801357.85, "trend": 12.758013, "fair_value": 14.864046, "relative_strength": -35.628804, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.36324, "energy": 83.22133, "activity_lines": [ 11.843333, 12.085699, 12.345247, 12.548391 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.75, "volume": 4464649, "typical_volume": 2949568.95, "trend": 12.685256, "fair_value": 14.819386, "relative_strength": -39.831757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -92.037108, "energy": 91.927766, "activity_lines": [ 11.426667, 11.819091, 12.166218, 12.418842 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 11.05, "volume": 2065928, "typical_volume": 2938642.5, "trend": 12.620897, "fair_value": 14.775522, "relative_strength": -39.353797, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.044721, "energy": 90.13419, "activity_lines": [ 11.22, 11.632727, 12.026841, 12.313341 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }