{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcf6c2c3-1926-41cf-8166-9ca898716de9", "symbol": "QSR", "name": "Restaurant Brands International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 82.242, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.679, "architecture_energy": 8.696, "architecture_maturity": 27.117, "architecture_confidence": 67.1, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.13, "rotation_up": 28.44, "upward_expansion": 41.94, "deceleration": 74.8, "rotation_down": 24.54, "downward_expansion": 31.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 73.881333, 74.026902, 74.616614, 74.40538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 73.89, "trend_reference": 73.334341, "distance_from_trend": 0.007577, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 67.088457, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.101382, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.220589, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.05131, "excess_performance": -0.074315, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007577, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.022651, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.101382, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.084189, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062206, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.089122, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05131, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.709293, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14032640, "relative_activity": 0.919916, "balance": 0.709293, "dry_up": 0.798864, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049037, "annualized_volatility": 0.218421, "from_high_reference": -0.090283, "from_low_reference": 0.238153 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 73.334341, "fair_value_reference": 67.088457, "structural_low": 64.856315, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.031819, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.022312, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.161537, "worst_return": -0.085207, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.080247, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.070849, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.265692, "worst_return": -0.111156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002348, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.088701, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.283745, "worst_return": -0.091949, "sufficient": true }, { 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74.015002, 74.841161, 74.28706 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.02, "volume": 11381805, "typical_volume": 16183411.55, "trend": 73.151349, "fair_value": 67.040753, "relative_strength": -2.830931, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.044895, "energy": 6.775462, "activity_lines": [ 74.021333, 74.026568, 74.739844, 74.357725 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.89, "volume": 14032640, "typical_volume": 15254266.0, "trend": 73.334341, "fair_value": 67.088457, "relative_strength": -6.220589, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.678726, "energy": 8.695942, "activity_lines": [ 73.881333, 74.026902, 74.616614, 74.40538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }