{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dcfaaded-82d3-4d3a-8310-ecd8306b2a4e", "symbol": "SRT3", "name": "Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 50.37, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 8.756, "architecture_energy": 4.349, "architecture_maturity": 25.897, "architecture_confidence": 62.546, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.91, "rotation_up": 35.23, "upward_expansion": 26.57, "deceleration": 51.83, "rotation_down": 32.92, "downward_expansion": 30.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 228.319998, 228.634545, 227.502856, 225.971427 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 232.199997, "trend_reference": 227.469063, "distance_from_trend": 0.020798, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 248.880272, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.067021, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.970811, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.027546, "excess_performance": -0.092185, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017112, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.067021, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090853, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.049708, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02134, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.027546, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.932883, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 331598, "relative_activity": 0.815609, "balance": 0.932883, "dry_up": 1.489186, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085039, "annualized_volatility": 0.416569, "from_high_reference": -0.129622, "from_low_reference": 0.28022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 227.469063, "fair_value_reference": 248.880272, "structural_low": 197.818375, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.028112, "positive_rate": 0.380952, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.040973, "regime_survival": 0.47619, "best_return": 0.246608, "worst_return": -0.18205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.103854, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.145023, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.204024, "worst_return": -0.302442, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.045782, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.175153, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.150107, 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"relative_strength": -4.738052, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 10.83539, "energy": 19.595403, "activity_lines": [ 232.119999, 230.716363, 227.131255, 226.443526 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 218.0, "volume": 577940, "typical_volume": 425405.8, "trend": 228.276278, "fair_value": 249.681842, "relative_strength": -8.121247, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.767249, "energy": 12.538231, "activity_lines": [ 227.653333, 228.252727, 226.662342, 225.718284 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 232.199997, "volume": 331598, "typical_volume": 406565.0, "trend": 227.469063, "fair_value": 248.880272, "relative_strength": -4.970811, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.756466, "energy": 4.349205, "activity_lines": [ 228.319998, 228.634545, 227.502856, 225.971427 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }