{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "dd0b1e04-b8b0-48fb-8526-601d88bb5bdf",
    "symbol": "XTC",
    "name": "Exco Technologies Limited",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 84.387,
    "architecture_energy": 86.817,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.936,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.772,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.42,
        "rotation_up": 77.1,
        "upward_expansion": 90.25,
        "deceleration": 47.53,
        "rotation_down": 8.67,
        "downward_expansion": 19.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.164,
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        7.774697,
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      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.46,
    "trend_reference": 7.525311,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.124206,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.798882,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.244322,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.238574,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.160979,
    "excess_performance": 0.040558,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124206,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061906,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.244322,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.121334,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062386,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070229,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160979,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.122,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 80400,
      "relative_activity": 1.217905,
      "balance": 3.122,
      "dry_up": 1.422783,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033583,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178817,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010526,
      "from_low_reference": 0.394239
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.525311,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.798882,
      "structural_low": 7.06,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.004024,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004664,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.167546,
        "worst_return": -0.089265,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.02167,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.11511,
        "worst_return": -0.219824,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.021508,
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        "worst_return": -0.205974,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.132753,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "fair_value": 6.779929,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 36.946383,
        "energy": 20.066154,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 60565.0,
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        "fair_value": 6.783541,
        "relative_strength": 3.327037,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.36,
        "volume": 171700,
        "typical_volume": 64990.0,
        "trend": 7.468132,
        "fair_value": 6.790453,
        "relative_strength": 8.531153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.636819,
        "energy": 70.70265,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.46,
        "volume": 80400,
        "typical_volume": 66015.0,
        "trend": 7.525311,
        "fair_value": 6.798882,
        "relative_strength": 6.238574,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.386696,
        "energy": 86.816703,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}