{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd1e7a79-8c66-47af-b81e-2be86b360fde", "symbol": "V3MM", "name": "Vanguard ESG Emerging Markets All Cap UCITS ETF USD Inc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 71.291, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.626, "architecture_energy": 24.123, "architecture_maturity": 63.14, "architecture_confidence": 84.414, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.07, "rotation_up": 27.28, "upward_expansion": 56.4, "deceleration": 88.16, "rotation_down": 34.83, "downward_expansion": 20.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.416733, 6.459545, 6.444126, 6.354469 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.545, "trend_reference": 6.246393, "distance_from_trend": 0.047805, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.096093, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.284317, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.798817, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.080598, "excess_performance": 0.029362, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.047805, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0401, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.284317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034026, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007988, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073128, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080598, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.054629, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 121142, "relative_activity": 2.776366, "balance": 1.054629, "dry_up": 1.262493, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032054, "annualized_volatility": 0.173437, "from_high_reference": -0.033663, "from_low_reference": 0.239743 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.246393, "fair_value_reference": 5.096093, "structural_low": 5.585, "invalidation": "A 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"typical_volume": 40828.6, "trend": 6.186809, "fair_value": 5.055154, "relative_strength": -0.549402, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.237204, "energy": 25.818221, "activity_lines": [ 6.4769, 6.49904, 6.41062, 6.314389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.361, "volume": 18873, "typical_volume": 39165.0, "trend": 6.208782, "fair_value": 5.067925, "relative_strength": -0.446895, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.494848, "energy": 19.026751, "activity_lines": [ 6.419533, 6.475108, 6.418886, 6.325627 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.337, "volume": 20750, "typical_volume": 38903.4, "trend": 6.226165, "fair_value": 5.080991, "relative_strength": -2.044734, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.671516, "energy": 21.073746, "activity_lines": [ 6.3775, 6.447779, 6.422722, 6.333899 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.545, "volume": 121142, "typical_volume": 43633.3, "trend": 6.246393, "fair_value": 5.096093, "relative_strength": 0.798817, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.625512, "energy": 24.123274, "activity_lines": [ 6.416733, 6.459545, 6.444126, 6.354469 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }