{ "ticker": { "uuid": "dd1fe13e-9476-4fde-b902-631df789b31f", "symbol": "603558", "name": "Zhejiang Jasan Holding Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.374, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.207, "architecture_energy": 20.191, "architecture_maturity": 16.228, "architecture_confidence": 56.28, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.73, "rotation_up": 55.74, "upward_expansion": 34.63, "deceleration": 40.25, "rotation_down": 14.97, "downward_expansion": 18.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.459333, 12.117636, 12.174231, 12.261904 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.61, "trend_reference": 12.180054, "distance_from_trend": 0.035299, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.647441, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307082, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.025587, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.085523, "excess_performance": 0.128726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035299, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017207, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307082, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.14325, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.110256, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048861, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.085523, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.354976, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24977200, "relative_activity": 0.879893, "balance": 0.354976, "dry_up": 0.806709, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069359, "annualized_volatility": 0.325028, "from_high_reference": -0.171977, "from_low_reference": 0.430005 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.180054, "fair_value_reference": 9.647441, "structural_low": 10.93, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.008347, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.004349, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.177158, "worst_return": -0.141709, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.025045, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.015437, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.197905, "worst_return": -0.091155, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.049101, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.034011, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.324796, "worst_return": -0.070787, 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false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.067361, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.049622, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.041772, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.170431, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.079252, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-02-13", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 12.46, "volume": 22782749, "typical_volume": 33063831.15, "trend": 12.0639, "fair_value": 9.575529, "relative_strength": 14.494919, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.887805, "energy": 5.810733, "activity_lines": [ 11.901333, 11.757273, 12.113127, 12.175976 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.91, "volume": 25910515, "typical_volume": 33113331.9, "trend": 12.124218, "fair_value": 9.612611, "relative_strength": 17.415676, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.05915, "energy": 16.97235, "activity_lines": [ 12.290667, 11.975091, 12.158587, 12.230564 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.61, "volume": 24977200, "typical_volume": 28386635.6, "trend": 12.180054, "fair_value": 9.647441, "relative_strength": 11.025587, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.206794, "energy": 20.191399, "activity_lines": [ 12.459333, 12.117636, 12.174231, 12.261904 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }